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Over Under 2/2 – Colorado Rockies/Pittsburgh Pirates
Josh Bell has been arguably the hottest hitter in the MLB over his last 10 games. Over that span, he’s hitting .436 with a .949 slugging percentage and a 1.449 OPS. While the power doesn’t truly matter for this play, he owns a .500 on-base percentage over that span. Bell has also posted a 70% hard hit rate with a 100 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. Furthermore, he brings 0.083 wOBA and 0.072 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching into this game. Bell gets an elite matchup against Antonio Senzatela, as well, and walks could come into play here, as the latter owns a 9% walk rate this season. Bell has elite multi-hit game potential, but with five walks in his last 10 games, he could find the over with those, as well. Charlie Blackmon is obviously a better option at home, but he’s still hitting .311 with a .711 slugging percentage and a 1.078 OPS over his last 10 games. Over that span, he owns seven extra-base hits, including five home runs. He had recorded 54% hard hit and 45% fly ball rates to go along with a 95 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. Blackmon also owns 0.051 wOBA and 0.061 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching. He gets a matchup against Jordan Lyles, who has also struggled with walks, which is a bit of a concern. Still, Blackmon has an elite combination of power and speed, while also flashing enough consistency for a multi-hit game on any given night.
Play $50 on Josh Bell OVER 1.5 hits and walks and Charlie Blackmon OVER 1.5 total bases to win $128.50 (2.57x)
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