Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks 7/18/19 - DFS Karma
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Bales’ Bananas – Monkey Knife Fight MLB Prop Picks 7/18/19

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Total Base Race – Houston Astros/Los Angeles Angels

The Houston Astros get a great matchup against Matt Harvey tonight. Through 11 games, he has struggled with a 5.26 xFIP and a 5.54 SIERA. He has held his opponents to a 30.8% fly ball rate, although he has given up a 20.8% HR/FB rate in 2019. Harvey has allowed his opponents to post a 41.6% hard hit rate to go along with a 10.4% soft hit rate this season, as well. He has struggled more against left-handed batters, allowing them to hit for a .289 average with a .577 slugging percentage and a .399 wOBA. He has given up a .257/.459/.320 line to right-handed batters, as well. Furthermore, Harvey’s opponents have posted a .313/.617/.410 line against him in Los Angeles in 2019. Alex Bregman has been playing well recently, posting a .273 average with a .515 slugging percentage and a .983 OPS over his last 10 games. He boasts four extra-base hits (two home runs) in those games, as well. He also owns 65% hard hit and 42% fly ball rates with a 95 MPH exit velocity over that span. Bregman enters this game 0.011 wOBA and 0.002 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching. Michael Brantley has been one of the hotter hitters in the MLB recently, as he boasts a .421 average with a .658 slugging percentage and a 1.123 OPS over his last 10 games. He has recorded five extra-base hits (two home runs) over that span. In those games, Brantley owns 54% hard hit and 37% line drive rates to go along with a 96 MPH exit velocity. If that isn’t enough, he brings 0.047 wOBA and 0.103 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching into this game. Yordan Alvarez is another left-handed batters, who has found more success against right-handed pitching. He enters this game with 0.044 wOBA and 0.003 ISO differentials against righties. Alvarez is also hitting .357 with a .619 slugging percentage and a 1.045 OPS over his last 10 games. He has posted seven extra-base hits (two home runs) in those contests, as well. Furthermore, Alvarez possesses 56% hard hit and 32% fly ball rates with a 96 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. Jose Altuve and George Springer could also be considered here, but this trio makes a bit more sense for their splits. 

Play $50 on Alex Bregman, Michael Brantley, and Yordan Alvarez OVER 7.5 total bases to win $100 (2x)

 

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