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Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – MLB Player Props 9/3/19

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Michael Conforto is hitting for a .279 average with a .465 slugging percentage and a .791 OPS over his last 10 games. He owns five extra-base hits (one home run) and four RBIs over that span. Conforto has struggled a bit with 35% hard hit and 42% ground ball rates to go along with a 93 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. He does boast 0.069 wOBA and 0.099 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching, but he gets a terrible matchup against Max Scherzer tonight. Conforto’s most likely route to the over is a home run in this matchup, making the under significantly more likely.

Buster Posey has been ice cold recently, posting a .190 average with a .190 slugging percentage and a .418 OPS over his last 10 games. He possesses only one RBI without any extra-base hits over that span. He has recorded 30% hard hit and 60% ground ball rates with a 93 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. Posey does bring 0.07 wOBA and 0.028 ISO differentials against right-handed pitching into this game, but he gets a difficult in St. Louis against Jack Flaherty. Posey has scored over 5.5 fantasy points in only 1 of his last 10 games, and he’s an easy play on the under in this matchup.

Play $25 on Michael Conforto UNDER 5.5 fantasy points and Buster Posey UNDER 5.5 fantasy points to win $62.5 (2.5x)

 

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