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Ben’s MLB DFS Game Theory (7/28/21)

Welcome to Ben’s MLB DFS Game Theory. In this article, I will provide my top pitchers, bats and stacks for each day’s Main Slate. You can find all of our Core Plays through our MLB Premium Package, or you click here to join our FREE Discord channel.

 

Pitcher 1B/C 2B 3B SS OF
Zack Wheeler Rhys Hoskins Jean Segura Eugenio Suarez Tim Anderson Eloy Jimenez
Andrew Heaney Joey Votto Kolten Wong Kris Bryant Willy Adames Jesse Winker
Walker Buehler Anthony Rizzo Johnny India Wander Franco Ramon Urias Kole Calhoun
Tanner Houck (DK) Jared Walsh Max Muncy Ke’Bryan Hayes Javy Baez Andrew Vaughn

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Pitching

We have a much better pitching slate tonight, with some big names throwing including Zack Wheeler, Walker Buehler and Lucas Giolito. Wheeler has been the best pitcher on this slate this season owning a 3.07 SIERA with 30% strikeouts. The match-up vs Washington is certainly beatable for him, and he is a core play for me in all formats. After him we have a number of SP2 options including Buehler and Andrew Heaney. Heaney has been someone I’ve largely faded this season, but the Rockies are so bad on the road he has to be considered. His main issue is allowing hard-contact, and the Rockies having the lowest road ISO as a team certainly help his case. He’s too cheap for his upside and can be used in all formats.

I wrote up Tanner Houck last week, and I’m going back to him tonight as a high-upside pivot. He is still not a household name, but the right-handed Chris Sale continues to look great when given the opportunity. His season long numbers are among the best on the slate, and he has the highest strikeout rate over the last 30 days at 37%. He draws a tough match-up with the Toronto Blue Jays, but it could play into his favor. Toronto is projected to send seven right-handed batters to the plate vs Houck — who is allowing just a .313 wOBA with 29% strikeouts in the split. He can be used as a pivot off of Heaney in the same price tier on DK.

Batters

Once again tonight we have great hitting weather in Wrigley Field pushing ownership onto the Cubs, Reds and of course the Phillies vs Patrick Corbin. Philly is going to take the cake for the top stack tonight, with Corbin looking like dust this season. He’s pitched to a SIERA just south of 5.00, and has lost all ability to strike batters out. He’s allowing over 43% hard hits to both sides of the plate. so I don’t think you need to target one specific side of the plate, and instead go for the full-on five man stack.

My favorite lower-owned team to target is going to be the White Sox once again. I will continue to target them vs left-handed pitching, and you can anchor a spend-up SP lineup with the cheap bats like Eloy Jimenez and Andrew Vaughn.

Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)

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