MLB BATTER UP April 10th, 2019
In this article I’ll be keeping a similar approach to how I built my article last season with my stacks, players I’m targeting from those stacks (and why), low-owned home run calls per position, and highest upside plays per position. As always, keep in touch with me through Discord and Twitter (@DF_Advantage) to suggest things you’d like me to add or take away from this article.
One of the most important concepts to understand in DFS MLB. Watch our daily YouTube live podcast for more information on this understanding/mindset. Keep in mind it is ok to stack 4 guys or 3 from the same team. This mathematically increases your chances of “cashing” in tournaments. It isn’t as necessary to stack in cash games (double ups/heads up). Below is our rankings starting from the best at number 1.
Not only will I be identifying two teams I believe you should target in GPPs, but I will also discuss in the analysis which specific players I want exposure from these two teams AND why.
Bobby’s Favorite Stack (and players): Brewers – We’re sticking with the Brewers for the third day in a row against the Angels and their 23rd ranking bullpen (in terms of WAR), and Felix Pena who is guaranteed to give up some runs tonight against this underrated Brewers offense. Pena ranks 2nd on this slate in projected HR’s given up and looks like he is on to another season where he struggles due to a home run problem. This Brewers lineup is filled with power lefties who should be able to crush on Pena who has a .91 higher FIP against them across his career. The usual targets are who we will want in our lineups again tonight, Mike Moustakas continues to tear it up while we’re on him (back to back homer games) – (.243 ISO tonight), Travis Shaw is an absolute bargain at 3.7k, Christian Yelich is the most elite play from this stack but you’ll have to pay the premium. These are the three guys I want overexposure to in GPPs but you can also include Lorenzo Cain and Ryan Braun to follow them up in that 1-5 game stack.
- Best “One-Off” – Christian Yelich
- Best Bet for a Homerun – Ryan Braun
Bobby’s #1 Leverage Stack of the Slate: Astros – Yesterday we were on a few Yankees and we weren’t really let down too bad with very productive games out of Voit and Sanchez. Tonight I’m looking to target players from the other side of this ballgame in my lineup. James Paxton has NOT looked good for the Yankees so far this season in games one of the worst teams in the MLB – the Orioles. Now, Paxton faces one of the most elite offenses in the MLB in the Astros and I just can’t see him having a ton of success in this one. While I do think Paxton will come into his own on the Yankees (insanely unlucky BABIP in first two starts), the Astros are a team that will be able to do damage and it doesn’t look like anyone is getting exposure to them due to the reputation Paxton has of an elite pitcher. Paxton is a bit prone to the long ball so if you find yourself not comfortable with an entire Astros stack, my favorite bet for a home run here is George Springer who is extremely discounted today but projects for over a .200 ISO and .340 wOBA. At 3.9k with his upside, this is a complete bargain. Other players to look for include Jose Altuve (top projected wOBA), Carlos Correa, Michael Brantley, and Tyler White if in need of value.
- Best “One-Off” – Jose Altuve
- Best Bet for a Homerun – George Springer
Make sure to stay up to date with my core plays which can be utilized for cash games and single entry GPPs by DMing me on twitter and signing up for our core plays at www.dfskarma.com/shop (use promo code DOUBLEPLAY to get a discount). I will always be in discord, as usual, answering questions and giving additional insight to our subscribers and community on the day’s slate.
Bobby’s BOMB’S PER POSITION (Proj. ISO)
C: A. Romine (.188 )
1B: D. Vogelbach (.384 ) – Chalkish that’s worth it
2B: M. Moustakas (.243 )
SS: R. Mondesi (.276)
3B: M. Muncy (.322 )
OF1: J. Pederson (.304 )
OF2: B. Nimmo (.248 )
OF3: A. Judge (.245)
Highest Ceiling Player Per Position (Price/Ownership Not Considered)
C: JT Realmuto
1B: Edwin Encarnacion
2B: Whit Merrifield
SS: Adalberto Mondesi
3B: Matt Chapman
OF1: Mike Trout
OF2: Christian Yelich
OF3: Khris Davis
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