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MLB DFS Slate Breakdown (6/16/21)

This content will be dedicated to providing you with an easy-to-follow breakdown of the elite cash plays, GPP plays, and leverage stacks.

By utilizing this content, you will be able to build +EV lineups and start increasing your DFS ROI in minutes. Our staff uses this data along with the player pool that is available with our premium package. You can find that here, in our Premium Core Plays

 

Vegas Overview – Below is an excerpt from our sister site, Bet Karma, which has daily player props, live trends (below), and much more! Access ALL odds, trends, and line movement for all sports here > BetKarma Live MLB Trends

 

Vegas Tables coming shortly!

 

Projections will be updated throughout the day. You can stay up to date on all of our latest projections by utilizing our FREE projections portal at DFS Karma.

NOTE: Tables are embedded in the breakdown and update LIVE. The various tables will update with starting lineups confirmation, when projections are edited in the projections portal(s), and every hour. If a table is showing an error message or is blank, please wait a moment and refresh the page and it should re-populate correctly. Thanks!

Pitching

Jacob DeGrom: What analysis do I need to put here to convince you to play DeGrom? We are witnessing one of the greatest pitching seasons ever and until he is priced appropriately, we need to keep investing in him. DeGrom is still underpriced for this matchup.

Zack Greinke: Greinke is underpriced for this matchup vs a strikeout-heavy Texas lineup. Since we are already spending up at SP1 with DeGrom, I will look to save at SP2 with a guy like Greinke. There some solid offensive spots that we want to target as well on this slate.

Other GPP Targets: I. Anderson, G. Cole

MLB Top Batters

Batters

C

Ryan Jeffers: Jeffers should hit in the middle order for the Twins vs a lefty. I will look to save here at C today and Jeffers is my preferred option. Sheffield has control issues and Jeffers should have success.

Buster Posey: Posey is one of the better Catcher spend ups on this slate, the DBacks have been awful this season and I expect that the Giants will keep beating them up. Posey and the verteran Giants are having a youthful resurgence this season.

1B

Freddie Freeman: The former NL MVP has been rounding back into form. We knew that Freeman would get going again. It is extremely encouraging that he has protection in front and behind him in this Braves order.

DJ LeMahieu: DJ has had a down year, but his price now reflects that. I am looking to invest in DJ at his cheaper price tags. He will always see good pitches and have opportunities for multi-hit games.

2B

Dylan Moore: Moore will be pretty popular today at a weaker second-base position. Moore has OF eligibility as well. Moore has pop and can get it done on the basepaths as well.

Ozzie Albies: I usually like Albies vs a lefty for his power, but this is an exception today. I think Albies price has gotten too cheap, he is usually priced in the high 4s/low 5s range.

3B

Josh Donaldson: Donaldson vs a lefty will be popular today, but for good reason. We have a large sample size of Donaldson being elite vs left-handed pitching. Donaldson had a nice homerun strecth last week, lets hope the power surge continues.

Kyle Seager: Seager’s advanced metrics have been incredible as of late. I will look to keep playing Seager, he may get traded here at the deadline. Seager wants to get onto a contender.

SS

Josh Rojas: Rojas will lead off for the DBack today and gets a favorable sub 4k price tag. SS is a weak position so I will look to save with someone that I like their talent and lineup spot.

Gleyber Torres: Torres has a few multi-hit games over the past two weeks, he’s really starting to heat up at the plate. With the lineup healthier, he sees a lot of better pitches and will look to be productive in a plus matchup.

OF

Yordan Alvarez: Draftkings hates Yordan, they just refuse to make this guy an appropriate price. We will continue to take advantage of an elite young hitter being underpriced.

David Peralta: Peralta and the DBacks are appealing due to their prices today. They had a great night at the plate last night, they will look to have similar success tonight.

Michael Brantley: Brantley is not a sexy option, but for cheap exposure to an elite Astros lineup he makes sense. he profiles a lot better in a stack and cash games rather than a one-off.

Nelson Cruz: Looks like Nelson Cruz won’t be as popular as he usually is vs a lefty. History speaks for itself, Cruz mashes lefties. We want to have someone with power whenever we are paying a 5k price tag.

Stacks

“Team Batting Score” – A metric that quickly highlights overall team batting based on Runs Created (RC+) by team and comparing it to the average and standard deviation of all other MLB Teams
“Opp. Pitcher SP Score” – A weighted metric that evaluates today’s starting pitchers based on xFIP and Games Started (currently using partial end of 2020 data blended with the 2021 season)
“Opp. BP Score” – Similar to SP Score but weights the xFIP for the team’s bullpen

Team Batting vs. Opp. Pitch

DK MLB Stacks

“T2” (and T3/T4/T5) represents the Top 2 projected hitters for the team on the left (not necessarily the top 2 hitters in the batting order)

Stacking is an extremely important element to MLB DFS. In MLB, all of your players are correlated to each other. Outside of solo homeruns, they need each other to succeed. If you look at the top of all of the big GPPs every night you will see stacks dominating the leaderboard.

When using our stacks chart, we want to identify teams that are projecting well but the ownership does not reflect their chance of success.

 

DraftKings 5-Man Stack Ideas

Coming soon…..

DraftKings 3-Man Stack Ideas

Coming soon…..

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