What is up Karma Nation, welcome to another edition of my WNBA DFS slate breakdown. I will be writing this article on 3 game slates or more. This article will be focusing on my favorite spend-up spots, as well as, those must-needed value plays. If you are new to WNBA DFS, welcome and I am excited to have you join the WNBA train.
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Las Vegas Aces @ Connecticut Sun (+1)
The game of the night starts us off! The Sun and Aces are two of the top three teams in the league and finally get to play each other. Kind of surprised to see the Sun are underdogs but that’s what recency bias will do to lines.
Liz Cambage is someone who interests me at 9.6K on DK. Before these two blowout games, Cambage was able to play 32 minutes against the Mercury. This makes me believe her minute limit could be over and she is full go to dominate the league again. The unfortunate part is her explosion last game will make her ownership higher than it should be. It is worth the risk, if she gets 30+ minutes at 1.4 DK points per minute will put her at 42 DK points at 30 minutes.
Like I saw every slate, DeWanna Bonner and Jonquel Jones are always in play and should always be considered in your player pools for their high floors. On top of that, another player that will be overlooked completely is A’ja Wilson. Cambage is coming off a 50 point fantasy day and people may just forget about A’ja Wilson in a great matchup to smash at low ownership. I wouldn’t stack her and Cambage though.
LA Sparks @ Dallas Wings (+1.5)
This will be an interesting game tonight. The Sparks are coming off two great games against the Chicago Sky, but before that, they got blown out two games in a row. It is tough to get a read on this team, but one thing we know is that they like to play high-paced. They lead the league in pace.
An important piece of news we are waiting for in this game is Chiney Ogwumike. With her out, we saw Coffey have a great game off the bench and Holmes get the spot start. Not huge news but if she is out it can open up some decent value.
One of my favorite plays on the Sparks is Erica Wheeler. She is coming off back-to-back 25+ DK point games and is 10th in the league in usage rate this season (20+ minutes/3+ Games). That is a number that stood out to me. I did not expect her to have that much usage but that means we have to roster her while she is still underpriced and under-owned.
On the other side of the ball, we have the backcourt of Arike Ogunbowale and Marina Mabrey. Mabrey managed to find herself as the second highest-priced guard on the slate behind DeWanna Bonner. She is priced up for a reason though. In game one she had only 19.3 DK points in 19 minutes with Gray in the league. She has sustained her 1 DK point per minute. Averaging 43 DK points per game in the four games since Gray left for the 3×3 tournament overseas.
Phoenix Mercury @ Chicago Sky (-1.5)
This is a game where you will have to be on the lookout for Candace Parker news. Join our discord for FREE to get up-to-date news on starting lineups and injury news. It could save your DFS lines. If Parker is back that puts Courtney Vandersloot and Diamond Diashields out of my guards’ player pool. Then I am curious who gets sent to the bench; Ruthy or Ndour. They are both too expensive to play off the bench so fade them too. Parker is cheap enough to take a shot on. In the one game, she was able to play this season. She put up 39.5 Fpts in 25 minutes, as well as, a top 5 usage rate in the league. This is like Lebron joining the team again and all his role players are priced up still.
On the other side of the ball, we have some key players that you should be considering in your lineups. With the loss of Diana Taurasi, Skylar Diggins-Smith and Brittney Griner have stepped up tremendously. If Parker is out for this game Griner becomes the lock of locks. Parker is the only one who can play defense for the Sky. Griner is leading the league in percentage of teams field goals made over the last two games at 43.6%. While Diggins is down at 15%. Both of them have been dominant in the usage category as well, both having over a 24% usage rate.
Indiana Fever @ Seattle Storm (-15)
This is a game I would say to be careful about. We just saw the Aces dominate the Fever in back-to-back games and the stars did not play the whole game. Vegas is projecting this for another blowout so all these players are at risk. I will be fading this game in cash games but you can take a shot on some players in GPPs.