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Joey’s WNBA Props: MKF & PP 08/29

Welcome back DFS grinders to another edition of my WNBA Props article. We have a very nice 3 game slate to work with tonight, let’s dive right in!

Vegas Lines

The Sparks are favored at home against the Fever by 5.5 points with a 157 game total.

The Mercury are favored at home against the Dream by 4.5 points with a 154 game total.

The Sky are favored on the road against the Wings by 11.5 points with a 160 game total. (Favorite Bet OVER 160)

Favorite bet last article hit! (Sun -2.5 and they won by 19) This was my first time incorporating my favorite bet into the article and I think I’m going to start adding it more often.


Prizepicks Plays

Teira McCowan OVER 36.5 fantasy prop: So make sure to jump on her for MKF as well because she is set at only 32.5 over there for some reason. So let’s digress and take a look at her previous 4 games real quick. Besides the 3 40+ point games and the two 50 point games we see one outlier of 17.9 points (gross) and guess what that was against the Sparks as well but I’ll tell you why you don’t have to worry about that. She will be in the exact same spot and we rode this play in the same game where in discord I said she was going to go “Ham Ham Bam Bam”. That was completely wrong (early foul trouble and the blowout causing her to barely play in the 2nd and 4th quarters after starting so hot) but I going to say the same exact thing her. She has 5 inches, 5 INCHES, on Nneka this will lead to plenty of easy baskets on second-chance points off offensive rebounds which we have seen as a trend in her big games. She is leading the league in second chance points on the season while only seeing close to half the minutes as everyone else. In these previous 4 games (minutes increase/starts that’s why this means anything) she is rocking a 25.1% usage rate which ranks 9th in the league for players with 25+ plus minutes a game and is 4th out of forwards. This along with leading or top 5 in every rebounding category as well. I know this is as of late and on a bad team who is already out of the playoffs but if she keeps this up than she is starting to have a case for ROY.

Arike Ogwumike OVER 29 fantasy points: This is a tough one for me because I hate playing her but we have to get her in here. Kayla Thornton is out for the Wings which means it’s Arika takeover time again. When Thornton was out Arika average 37 fantasy points and 28 real points per game on 20 shot attempts and 28 and 33% usage rates. Arike loves to jack up shots and here is another game where she is going to do just that. This game is a projected blowout but blowouts really haven’t stopped Arike from seeing 35+ minutes so I expect another huge minute game as the Wings all but officially eliminated from the playoffs looks to develop their young players to have a much better season with SDS back. Narrative: Sh is the face of throwback night in Dallas tonight! 

 MKF Play

Mitchell decided to completely screw me over last game but I’m going right back to her under in an inflated total which should hit an easy under. We also have Williams in the best rebounding matchup you can ask for for a big. So her double-double potential is right there with the best of them tonight.

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