Happy Friday everyone! We have a nice big slate ahead of us, TON of news, a bunch of chalk.. This is a great time to get those low-owned punts into your lineup for tournaments. Let’s dive into some of my favorite GPP plays for tonight!
Similar to all positions, I want players with the highest upside and the highest floor. We want generally a low risk/high reward player that won’t kill the entire line if he busts. Starting off, I’m looking at LaMelo Ball at 8.4k on DK here tonight. He just dropped a triple double against Indiana who isn’t known to be the fastest pace team but was known to have terrible defense their last 3-5 games. Melo easily got to the rim, shot 3/4 on 3s and was able to get the ball moving to obtain 13 assists. He now gets a Laker match-up that is known to play t5 pace in the league, as well as with the Q tag on Lebron and AD, could see another easy matchup of getting to the rim, shooting the 3, and moving the ball. Assuming this game stays competitive, he should have no issue getting to his price value plus more, I don’t think he’ll replicate what he did on the 26th but he does have some good upside here with a good floor.
Luke Kennard is the SG I’m looking at here because of his minutes the l3 games without Marcus Morris, as well as his solid shooting %. He is only 4.5k on DK and MIA struggles at the SG position. He has seen 28, 30, and 32 minutes respectively with his best game coming in the 30 minute game where the Clippers came back down 35 led by Kennard himself. It’s clear to see that Ty Lue has faith in him and he is a key part of this Clippers team while they are missing tons of players. If this game were to stay competitive, I assume Kennard will have a good bit to do with that. If he duds, he won’t kill you as he is only 4.5k but I honestly believe his floor here is around 20 DKP and a ceiling of around 30 DKP.
Zach Lavine is the SF I’m looking at on this slate because of his upside in a fast paced match-up against SA that isn’t too great at defense as well. Since his return (even on a “minutes limit” of 35 minutes… he dropped 48.25 DKP shooting 6-19 from the field (yes Derozan was out) but with Derozan in, he played 38 minutes and shot 3 less shots..but had one more reb and last. He gets a better match-up now against SA and seems to be playing the PG role especially with Coby White on the bench. They are now starting Ayo Dosunmu who plays more of a SG role, which puts Lavine in the PG role. We love this for his fantasy output because he gets more touches, more opportunities, more responsibilities… sign me up for PG Lavine.
Cam Johnson baby! My fav guy is on the slate once again in a great spot against the Timberwolves who play t10 fastest pace in the game and are on a b2b so they might have tired legs here. PHX will be missing both Ayton and Crowder AGAIN today which puts Cam Johnson in another starting spot with higher usage, higher reb %, and higher shooting volume. He wasn’t used in the offense a ton compared to the first game vs UTA, but that was partially because Booker was on a heater and they kept feeding him the ball. This game I think might be different with knowledge that Minnesota has a few defenders who can clamp up (Beverley if he plays, Vanderbilt, Okogie) so we probably see the ball move around a lot more. With that being said, Cam still put up 23.25 DKP with little usage in 36 minutes. I think that’s his floor and there’s only going up from here.
This play is only if Christian Wood sits (which I do assume he does… he missed shootaround) — Alpren Sengun. Without Christian Wood, Alpren has one amazing game and one really bad game. His great game came on the front end of the b2b and the really bad game came the game after, where Wood missed both. This was interesting to me because of how volatile his production was, but this was with no days of rest after doing a ton the previous game. Now he’s coming off a 2 day rest period, and not only that…but the coach did mention that he can’t play Wood and Sengun together. He wants to get Sengun more minutes but obviously w/ Wood out there, it’s tough. If Wood ends up missing tonight, this si the perfect time for coach Silas to get him out there in a good game environment where Sengun could smash. Portland isn’t great at defense and at 3.5k, he won’t kill you if he duds. I still don’t expect him to though…but again, only if Christian Wood is out.
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