0 Bobby's MLB Batter Up (6/13/18) | DFS Karma

Bobby's MLB Batter Up (6/13/18)

MLB BATTER UP June 13th, 2018
  •  This PREMIUM article features top offensive batters per position
  • This includes value plays, upside plays, and contrarian plays
  • Strategic game theory on why we are selecting these batters
  • Advice on the best “Game Stacks” of the day
  • The same players in these articles are the same players you can find in the core of our lineups! 

 Top Stacks – One of the most important concepts to understand in DFS MLB.  Watch our daily YouTube live podcast for more information on this understanding/mindset.  Keep in mind it is ok to stack 4 guys or 3 from the same team.  This mathematically increases your chances of “cashing” in tournaments.  It isn’t as necessary to stack in cash games (double ups/heads up).  Below is our rankings starting from the best at number 1.

 

    1. Phillies  - The Phillies are a team that has been all or nothing in 2018.  Basically, every player is swinging for the fences which have become custom in today's MLB.  This sometimes works against but a lot of the times provides the opportunity for upside we need in GPP's.  The Phillies are facing Rockies LHP Tyler Anderson on this 9 game slate and should come in fairly low-owned.  The Phillies have been dominant against LHPs at home this season posting a 9th best 109 wRC+.  Tyler Anderson has by no means been good but he hasn't been that bad considering half of his games are at Coors Field.  Unfortunately for Anderson, this Phillies team is dominant at home and even more so against lefties as seen by their wRC+. His hard contact given up does not fluctuate at all from Home/Away so we should see some of the same BABIP and HC from Anderson.  The Phillies are stacked with some big left-handed bats and Anderson has been a reverse-splits pitcher this year posting a 5.14 xFIP against lefties.  With the projected ownership of the Phillies on this slate, I'm going to continue to ride them.
          1. I prefer 1-5 in the projected lineup.
          2. Favorite One-Off: Rhys Hoskins
      1. Twins - The Twins are a team I always like to get some exposure to because they are always going under-owned.  On a slate where they have a 4.6 implied run total I think this trend continues due to the fact that they are currently ranked 7th on the slate in projected run total even though they are in a killer matchup.  Here's a big secret I'm sure none of you knew... Matt Boyd is bad at baseball.  Somehow managing a 3.20 ERA through 70.1 innings of pitching is near incredible considering his xFIP is above 5.00 and there is nothing overpowering about the guy (90 MPH fastball).  The Twins are above league average against LHP on the road posting a 100 wRC+ which comes in 13th in the MLB.  On this type of slate where I am looking to leverage ownership a tad more, I want major exposure to this power-stacked Twins lineup.
          1. I prefer 1-6 in the projected lineup. 
          2. Favorite One-Off: Brian Dozier

          

         BOBBY'S LOW-OWNED JACKS:

        Rhys Hoskins:  Rhys Hoskins is back in the lineup for the Phillies to a tune of a 55% FB rate and a .262 ISO against left-handed pitching.  Anderson does struggle from both sides of the plate and the only thing that has me slightly concerned about this call is that I think Hoskins will garner the highest ownership about any of the Philly bats.  I'm not concerned, he's homering. Book it.  

        Brian Dozier: The home runs are coming for Dozier and the positive regression in his power stroke should be on the return soon.  His 47% hard contact rate and 44% FB rate give us an idea that Dozier should probably have more than one home run over the past 10 games.  Factors like wind, ballpark, and temperature all could have played a part in limiting his home run success recently.  This is an awesome spot to get him cheap, on the road, against a left-handed pitcher Dozier has a .248 ISO against.  He's a lock on this slate in my eyes.

        Highest upside player picks per position 
        (High Owned, Low Owned)
         
        Catcher –   S. Perez, J. Alfaro
        1st base –  J. Martinez, J. Gallo
        2nd base –  M. Carpenter, B. Dozier
        Shortstop –  F. Lindor, E. Escobar
        3rd base –  J. Ramirez, E. Suarez
        OF –  T. Pham, S. Schebler, M. Brantley
             R. Hoskins, O. Herrera, E. Rosario
         
        Bold Call of the day:  The Phillies hit three home-runs in their game!!
        Good luck everyone let's hit this slate out of the park!

         

        Written By: @DF_Advantage 

         

         

         

         

         

         

        DISCLAIMER: This report has been prepared and issued by DFS Karma LLC for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, howeverwe do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. DFS Karma LLC is not responsible for any losses sustained. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department at DFS Karma LLC at the time of publication.

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