Russell Wilson/J.D. McKissic/Doug Baldwin
The Seattle Seahawks have featured an above average offense this season, averaging 367.6 total yards and 24.2 points per game. They are a team that relies heavily on throwing the ball, though. They get an elite matchup against the San Francisco 49ers, are allowing 379.8 total yards and 26.0 points per game this season. The Seahawks are -6.5 point favorites in a game set at 44 points, giving them an implied team total of 25.3 points.
Russell Wilson is the focal point of the Seahawks offense. He is averaging 280.1 passing yards and 2.1 passing touchdowns per game. He is also leading the Seahawks in rushing yards (376) and touchdowns (2). Seattle’s backfield is a bit up in the air with Chris Carson and C.J. Prosise on I.R. and Mike Davis doubtful this week. The highest upside option remaining is J.D. McKissic. He saw a season-high seven carries last week, but is a player known for his receiving. He has posted a 9/43 line on 11 targets over the last two weeks. He could potentially see a larger role in the offense this week, as well. Doug Baldwin is the final part of the stack. He has been enjoying a great season, averaging a 5.6/67.3/0.4 line on 8.5 targets per game. Baldwin also plays the majority of his snaps out of the slot, and San Francisco has been one of the worst teams against the slot receiver this season.
Marcus Mariota/Rishard Matthews/Corey Davis
The Tennessee Titans are known as a run first football team, but they have flashed upside with the passing offense. Overall, they are averaging 210 passing yards per game. The problem with Tennessee is that they have only found the end zone nine times through the air. They get an interesting matchup against the Indianapolis Colts this week. Indianapolis is allowing the third most passing yards per game with 275. They have also allowed 15 passing touchdowns this season. The Titans are -3 point favorites in a game set at 45.5 points. They have a respectable team total of 24.3 points.
Marcus Mariota is a high upside option, who has at least 30 pass attempts in six of his nine games this season, including two games with 40 or more pass attempts. He has struggled to find the end zone this season, throwing for only eight touchdowns, but he is also averaging 20.7 rushing yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns per game. Rishard Matthews has been the best wide receiver for the Titans this season, and he makes a great option this week. He ranks second on the team in targets behind only Delanie Walker. Overall, Matthews is averaging a 4.1/62.6/0.3 line on 6.8 targets per game this season. Corey Davis has been inefficient this season, but he has seen the opportunities. Since returning from injury, Davis is averaging 7.3 targets per game. This week will finally be a matchup he can take advantage of.
Jacoby Brissett/T.Y. Hilton/Jack Doyle
The Indianapolis Colts have struggled offensively this season, but their passing totals have been on the rise since Jacoby Brissett has taken over as their quarterback. The team is currently averaging 205 passing yards per game to go along with only nine touchdowns this season. With that being said, their offense has been clicking a bit more over the last three weeks. They get a great matchup against the Tennessee Titans, who rank 12th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (241) and third in the NFL in passing touchdowns allowed (21). The Colts are underdogs in this game, but they still have a respectable team total of 21.3 points.
Jacoby Brissett is currently dealing with a concussion, but he is expected to start this week for the Colts. He has provided a spark to their offense, as he is averaging 254.3 passing yards and 2.0 passing touchdowns per game over his last three games. He also has three rushing touchdowns this season. His two favorite targets have been Jack Doyle and T.Y. Hilton, who both lead the team in targets this season. Overall, the duo has combined for 45.1% of the team’s targets, 46.8% of receptions, 51.1% of receiving yards, and 55.5% of receiving touchdowns. Hilton is a player that has looked elite against weaker competition this season, and Tennessee has struggled to contain receivers. Doyle, on the other hand, is an efficient target monster, who has found success against nearly everyone this season.
High Upside GPP Stack
Matt Ryan/Mohamed Sanu/Julio Jones
The Atlanta Falcons offense has taken a step back from last season, but they have still been a slightly above average passing attack. On the season, they are averaging 245 passing yards per game to go along with 15 passing touchdowns. They get an elite matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are allowing 276 passing yards per game. They have also allowed 17 passing touchdowns this season. The Falcons are also -10 point favorites in a game set at 49 points, giving them the second highest implied team total on the slate at 29.5 points.
Matt Ryan has struggled a bit this season, but he has recorded at least two passing touchdowns in each of his last four games. He was only able to do this once in his first six games. In his last four games, he is also averaging 244.3 passing yards per game. He finally looks more comfortable in the new Atlanta offense. Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu are the top options to stack with him. They rank first and second on the team in targets. Sanu has been heating up a bit recently, as he has scored a touchdown in three of his last four games. Jones has not been scoring recently, but he is averaging 10 targets per game over his last three games. He is an elite receiver in the NFL, and it is only a matter of time before his production catches up to his talent.