Go Long – Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Dallas Cowboys
Amari Cooper has been playing at an elite level for the Dallas Cowboys, specifically when he’s playing at home. Through four home games, Cooper is averaging 7.8 receptions for 132.8 yards and 1.5 touchdowns on 9.5 targets per game. This is an elite spot for Cooper once again, as Tampa Bay is allowing 259.0 passing yards per game this season. On the other side, Mike Evans should be the focal point of the Tampa Bay offense. He isn’t likely to face off against Byron Jones, giving him one of the better matchups in this game. He has topped 100 yards in three of his last five games, and he’s averaging a healthy 94.9 receiving yards per game, including 100.0 receiving yards per game on the road. Tampa Bay will also likely be throwing from the start to the finish of this game, adding to Evans potential output. Ezekiel Elliott is a safe option, who will add a floor to this play. He has recorded 25 receptions for 180 yards and one touchdown on 27 targets over his last three games. Elliott has 35+ receiving yards in six fo his last seven games, including multiple games with 50+ receiving yards. Quite frankly, I don’t mind changing this play to over 238.5 yards (3x) or 258.5 yards (5x) if you’re feeling risky.
Play $50 on Amari Cooper, Ezekiel Elliott, and Mike Evans OVER 218.5 yards to win $100 (2x)
Rush Hour – Baltimore Ravens/Los Angeles Chargers
Melvin Gordon is expected to return from injury, while Austin Ekeler is doubtful for this week. On the season, Gordon is averaging 80.2 yards on only 15.3 carries per game. He had seen 18+ carries in four of his five games before being injured, though, and he could see extra carries with Ekeler injured. Lamar Jackson has started five games this season, and he’s averaging 85.4 yards on 17.2 carries per game. He’ll continue to see a plethora of carries this week, and Baltimore continues to focus heavily on the run. Gus Edwards has been a new part of the offense since Jackson took over at quarterback. In those five games, he’s averaging 97.2 yards on 19.2 carries per game. Both of these defenses have found success against the run this season, but there will be plenty of opportunities for these two teams to get their running attacks working. This trio of players is averaging a healthy 262.8 rushing yards per game, and they could even hit this play, even if both teams suffer from inefficient play.
Play $50 on Lamar Jackson, Gus Edwards, and Melvin Gordon OVER 231.5 yards to win $100 (2x)
Over Under 2/2 – Houston Texans/Philadelphia Eagles
This is essentially a single play to win double your money. Gregory Howell has played in 13 games this season, but has yet to record a touch. He’ll lock in once he sees the field, but is highly unlikely to record a touch, making him an easy player to lock under his total. Wendell Smallwood saw limited touches recently, but he was forced into action against the Los Angeles Rams when Josh Adams was injured. He only missed a bit of time, though, and Smallwood continued to see carries. In that game, he totaled 48 rushing yards on 10 carries. He has topped 16 rushing yards when given three or more carries this season, and Philadelphia is expected to utilize an RBBC approach this week. While the matchup is less than ideal, Smallwood simply doesn’t need much success to hit over 15.5 yards.
Play $20 on Wendell Smallwood OVER 15.5 yards and Gregory Howell UNDER 1.5 yards to win $43 (2.15x)