Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NFL Player Props Week 3 (Thursday) - DFS Karma
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Bales’ Premium PrizePicks – NFL Player Props Week 3 (Thursday)

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Dede Westbrook had a clear connection with Nick Foles, which he seemingly doesn’t have with Gardner Minshew. While he did catch a touchdown in the fourth quarter of his first game with Minshew, he caught only one pass for three yards on five targets in his only full game with the rookie quarterback. The latter also took a step back in his first full NFL start, and he struggled outside of a late touchdown to D.J. Chark. Minshew has been spreading the ball around, as six different receivers saw four or more targets last week, but no one outside of Chark saw more than six. Westbrook gets a tough matchup against Logan Ryan, and his only real chance at hitting the over is a touchdown. With that being said, it’s possible (although unlikely) that he could score and still find the under.

It may be time to give up on Corey Davis in this offense. He has scored 6.8 fantasy points through two games this season. Overall, he owns 3 receptions for 38 yards on only 8 targets. He’s expected to be shadowed by Jalen Ramsey this week, and there’s little reason to believe he’ll see a spike in targets in his worst matchup so far this season. This game isn’t likely to feature many points, and both offenses will likely be trying to control the clock with their run games. Similarly to Westbrook, it’s difficult to project Davis for the over outside of scoring a touchdown, which is far from the most likely scenario this week.

Play 1 unit on Dede Westbrook UNDER 10.3 fantasy points and Corey Davis UNDER 8.3 fantasy points to win 2.5 units (2.5x)

 

Follow Justin on Twitter (@BalesSJustin)

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