Brian’s CFB DFS Game Theory (10/24) Draftkings - DFS Karma
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Brian’s CFB DFS Game Theory (10/24) Draftkings

We are excited to bring to you our CFB DFS Game Theory. This piece of content is created to help break down each slate and label plays into four, very easy to follow categories. Cash, safe GPP/Upside, low owned GPP, and fades. Utilizing this piece of content, along with other DFS Karma CFB content, will help make your lineup construction more effective and lead you to being a more consistent DFS player.

 

QB RB WR Top Stack
Max Duggan Chuba Hubbard Jalen Waddle Ole Miss
Hendon Hooker Javian Hawkins Seth Williams Alabama
Matt Corral Tank Bigsby Dazz Newsome UNC
Sam Howell Najee Harris Elijah Moore Auburn
Jordan Travis Velton Gardner Tutu Atwell Notre Dame

*If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above to maximize upside and correlation in your CFB lineups.


Slate Thoughts:

  • Looking at this weeks slate, the first thing I notice is that there are many guys that are priced extremely high.  A few that stand out to me at first glance are Sam Ehlinger, N. Harris, T. Lawrence and B. Hall; all over 9k.  My exposure will be very limited to all of these guys due to their inflated price tags.  I personally will not play any of these guys in my cash lineup, but may get to some Najee Harris exposure in tournaments, but that would be it.
  • The focus of my cash lineup this week will be focused around Max Duggan, Javian Hawkins and Jalen Waddle.  Duggan will be facing Oklahoma this week in what should be a very high scoring game.  It is no secret that Oklahoma’s defense is one of the worst in the Big 12.  Oklahoma’s defense has more questions than answers which should afford Duggan the opportunity to produce very good numbers both on the ground and through the air.  Hawkins will be facing a very suspect FSU run defense.  Hawkins is a big piece of this Louisville offense and gets tons of opportunities weekly in it.  At his price point, you could do much worse.  For a player that gets the amount of opportunities that he gets, and the matchup that he will enjoy this weekend, he will be a very strong play in all formats.  Finally, Jalen Waddle will be my last piece to my cash core.  Waddle has had an incredible start to the season.  He is targeted a bunch by Mac Jones, and this week should be no different.  He is capable of taking every single pass he catches for a touchdown, and this week comes in priced lower than Smith.
  • I believe this Auburn vs. Ole Miss game is going to be an absolute shootout.  Both teams have not looked great this year.  Ole Miss looked amazing on the offensive side of the ball vs. Alabama, and then followed up with an absolutely pathetic performance vs. Arkansas.  I believe the Arkansas performance is an outlier, as I really like Lane Kiffin led offenses.  Ole Miss should turn things around this week and do so by putting up 40+ points on Auburn.  I love Matt Corral in a bounce back game here, and love pairing him with his stud playmaker Elijah Moore.
  • On the other side of this game we have two players that are priced WAY to low for their upside in this matchup.  Bo Nix and Seth Williams are priced way to low in my opinion this week.  Bo Nix, though he has looked horrible at times this year, gets about as good of a matchup as he can get.  He will face an Ole Miss defense that struggles stopping run games and passing games.  Nix also offers a little rushing ability which also cannot be ignored.  Bo Nix will need to have a good game this week to keep pace with Ole Miss.  Seth Williams is a stud receiver and receives a ton of targets from Nix in this offense.  Williams is priced way to low and may end up being a core play for me.
  • UNC was projected to have one of the most lethal offenses in the country this year, and they have yet to live up to that hype.  I will continue to roll with this offense in positive matchups, which they have this week.  NC State has improved throughout the year on the defensive side of the ball, but not enough to worry me about UNC’s offense finding success.  We watched this Sam Howell led offense last year absolutely dismantle defenses across this ACC.  In a rivalry game this week, I could see the UNC breakout we keep waiting on.  Dazz Newsom’s price tag this week is incredibly low, and I believe is a great play in all formats.  Michael Carter provides nice savings over Williams this week, and both have equal opportunities in this offense.  I believe we will be able to get UNC at very low ownership again this week.  I will gladly jump back on this train, and hope we finally get the UNC offense of last year, which is definitely possible in this matchup.
  • Virginia Tech vs. Wake Forest is a game that I find very interesting.  Hendon Hooker made his return for the Hokies last week and did not disappoint.  He and the rest of the VT offense played very well, and now will get a matchup vs. a Wake Forest defense that has really struggled this year.  Hooker has as high of a ceiling as any quarterback on this slate, and can definitely be targeted in tournaments.  Hartman and the WF offense is an offense that plays fast.  They will need a big week to keep this game close.  We have seen VT give up big plays on the defensive side of the ball, and we have seen WF create big plays on the offensive side of the ball.  Hartman is a cheap play that can be considered in tournaments.
  • Good luck tomorrow guys. Click the link below to join today and gain access to all of our core plays!

 

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