Brian’s CFB DFS Game Theory 12/5 - DFS Karma
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Brian’s CFB DFS Game Theory 12/5

We are excited to bring you our CFB DFS Game Theory. This piece of content is created to help break down each slate and label plays into four, very easy to follow categories: Cash, safe GPP/upside, low owned GPP, and fades. Utilizing this piece of content, along with other DFS Karma CFB content, will help make your lineup construction more effective and lead you to being a more consistent DFS player.

 

QB RB WR Top Stack
S. Sanders T. Goodson T. Wallace Ohio State
J. Plummer J. Berger R. Moore Florida
J. Fields I. Spiller C. Olave Oklahoma State
K. Trask D. Jackson Z. Flowers Boston College
J. Sims Z. Evans K. Pitts West Virginia

If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above to maximize upside and correlation in your CFB lineups.


Slate Thoughts:

  • We have a rather large slate on tap for tomorrow, and a plethora of high priced players to choose from.  It appears that Ohio State will be suiting up tomorrow against Mel Tucker and his Michigan State Spartans.  I expect Ohio State to come out and win big and try and get as many style points as they can.  Fields/Wilson/Olave are a very strong stack to play, but due to pricing on this slate you probably wont be able to field a competitive team around them to be successful.  I expect Ohio State will be the highest scoring team on this slate, and if I were going to run an Ohio State stack I would go with a 2-man Fields/Olave stack.  Olave comes at a much lower price than Wilson, and at this moment I am considering using Olave in my main line.
  • The big question of the slate will be the status of Chuba Hubbard.  Early reports are that he probably wont play, and Mike Gundy did mention earlier this week that Jackson was the starting running back for them.  If Hubbard is ruled out tomorrow, Jackson is still not priced high enough and would become a lock for me in cash games, and a very strong play in tournaments.  Another combo I like from the Cowboys is Spencer Sanders and Tylan Wallace.  Sanders is still priced below 7k and offers us a dual threat option that looked really good last week.  Tylan Wallace is obviously the top WR on this team and Sanders favorite target.  Sanders/Wallace are a strong stack in all formats.
  • Florida will be taking on Tennessee in hopes of locking up the SEC east. Tennessee have been absolutely awful in defending the pass this year, and now they will be facing one of the most prolific passing attacks in College Football.  I think that most people will try and get to Fields and one of his pass catchers, making the Trask/Pitts combo slightly under owned.  I love Trask and his receivers this weekend, and think that they have a real shot at being the highest scoring offense.  Tennessee doesn’t have anyone that can cover Kyle Pitts, and will struggle getting pressure on Trask to force him into mistakes.  Florida is going to be my top GPP target tomorrow, and I would not be surprised in the slightest if we see Kyle Pitts have a stat line similar to the one he had week 1.  The Gators will be fired up for this one, and will prove to the nation that they are one of the 4 best teams.
  • One guy that stands out to me as a misprice this week is Rondale Moore.  Moore is the heaviest targeted receiver on this Purdue team, but for some reason is priced well below Bell.  I expect Moore to receive 10+ targets tomorrow vs. Nebraska and we all know the type of ceiling Moore is capable of.  He gets a fantasy friendly matchup vs. a poor Nebraska defense and should be able to easily hit value at his price of $6800.
  • A very low priced stack that I feel has a chance to be incredibly productive is the Boston College stack of P. Jurkovec and Z. Flowers.  Jurkovec is only $6600 and Flowers comes in at a price of only $5200.  Flowers is receiving 10+ targets per game, and should find plenty of opportunities vs. this poor Virginia defense that allows nearly 300 passing yards per game.  Fire up the Jurkovec/Flowers stack for cheap.  Jurkovec also gives us the dual threat ability and has shown throughout the season he isn’t afraid to run the ball, and is always capable to score a few rushing touchdowns.
  • There are 3 Value running backs I am keeping my eye on.  Jordan Mason (GT), Z. Evans (TCU) and Ronnie Walker (UVA).  Walker is min priced and had 14 rush attempts last game.  If he is going to keep seeing an uptick in his carries he is worth a shot in tournaments.  Jordan Mason is a proven effective and efficient running back.  It looks like Gibbs is in danger of missing this game.  If he does miss this game, Mason is priced way to low for is projected work load.  Even if Gibbs is active, he may be limited and Mason will still see plenty of action to make him easily worth his price.  Zach Evans saw 13 carries for TCU in the last game vs. Kansas and turned those carries into 100 yards.  He has continued to see his usage in this offense increase each week.  He is one of the most talented running backs in the country, and if he continues to see his workload increase, he is well worth his 4k price.

Good luck tomorrow guys. Click the link below to join today and gain access to all of our core plays!  Also, College Basketball Season is underway! Click here to sign up for our CBB package, and gain access to our CBB premium discord channel, premium content and DFS core plays.  

 

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