Oakland Raiders (+140)/Cincinnati Bengals (-165)
The Oakland Raiders and Cincinnati Bengals have featured two struggling offenses throughout the season, but they have also recorded the two worst defenses in the NFL. These two teams are combining to allow 60.3 points per game, although they are only combining to average 42.4 points per game. The Bengals have struggled at times with Jeff Driskel at quarterback this season, but they can lean heavily on Joe Mixon this weekend. The Raiders have also been heating up a bit recently, scoring 23+ points in three of their last four games. While these offenses could potentially flop, it is significantly more likely that they see a boost in value because of the defenses. There are multiple matchups each offense can take advantage of, leading to plenty of points in this game.
Bet 3 units on Oakland/Cincinnati OVER 46 to win 2.7 units (-110)
Houston Texans (-310)
The Houston Texans have been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season. After starting the season 0-3, they won nine consecutive games before losing to the Indianapolis Colts last weekend. They currently own a +4.9 point differential per game this season, while featuring both a top-12 offense and a top-five defense. They get an elite matchup against the New York Jets, who are coming off of a win against the Buffalo Bills. Prior to that, they lost six consecutive games. On the season, they feature a -4.6 point differential per game, while struggling both offensively and defensively. There is very little reason to believe the Jets offense will consistently be able to score against Houston, while the New York defense will consistently be able to stop the Texans. The spread is a bit wide, especially for a road game, but Houston is a significantly better offense than New York, and the latter simply doesn’t have anything to play for at this point in the season.
Bet 3 units on Houston -7 spread to win 3 units (+100)
Dallas Cowboys (+135)
The Dallas Cowboys are an interesting team, and this is somewhat of an odd line. They feature one of the best defenses in the NFL, allowing only 18.9 points per game this season. They also own a 5-1 record since the Amari Cooper trade. The Indianapolis Colts have featured a solid defense, but it hasn’t been near the level of Dallas’ defense. Indianapolis also features an above average offense, though, as they are averaging 26.8 points per game on the season. With that being said, they have relied heavily on their passing attack, and Dallas features one of the best pass defenses in the NFL. They now have the playmakers to open up the field for Ezekiel Elliott, which allows them to control the ball. The Colts could struggle to score in this game, and controlling the clock with their defense and rushing attack gives Dallas the potential for an upset.
Bet 2 units on Dallas +3 spread to win 1.8 units (-110)
Parlay 2 units on Tennessee +2 spread, Buffalo -2 spread, and Atlanta -10 spread to win 12.3 units (+613)