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Gator’s PGA EURO DFS – 2019 Dubai Desert Classic

Dubai Desert Classic 2019

 

The Dubai Desert Classic has been held at the Emirates Golf Club since 1989 and has only been held elsewhere for 2 of those years. We therefore have a large sample of previous tournaments to consider however one thing is for sure, we will need players who can go very low.

13 players in the Player Pool

 

High Tier

Bryson DeChambeau (1st most expensive)

Possibly the best player in the world at the moment, favourite and most likely winner, finished T18th in 2016, but is a different player nowadays and sure to go well

Rafa Cabrera Bello $9800 (6th most expensive)

Usually a player who goes under owned due largely to his poor win ratio however a great consistent record in Dubai makes him a fantastic player this week, 9 starts, 7 cuts with 3 top 10 finishes, T6, T11 and T2 in the previous 3 Dubai Classics and an encouraging T11th in Abu Dhabi last week. Previous winner at The Emerates

 

Mid Tier

Ian Poulter $8900 (14th most expensive)

8 cuts from 8 start in Dubai Desert Classic, T6th in Abu Dhabi, winner in US last year, back to best after Ryder Cup heroics.

Juist Luiten $9100 (12th most expensive)

Has T5th in Dubai Desert Classic, 3rd last week and back to form, more expensive than expected but a good play.

Haotong Li $9000 (13th most expensive)

Last years Dubai Desert Classic winner at -23, may be an obvious choice, but a missed cut last week will put many off, but he won after missing the cut at Abu Dhabi last year too, 5th in birdie average/round in 2018 is also encouraging.

 

Lower Mid Tier Value

Tom Lewis $8500 (18th most expensive – Cash/GPP Lock)

Possibly one of the most in form European players since August 2018, he has a number of Top 10 finishes and winner of The British Masters which has taken him to a new level. T9th in Abu Dhabi which included a 75 in round 3. 5 cuts from 5 in The Dubai Desert Classic, playable in all formats.

Andy Sullivan  ($8400 19th most expensive)

Another player who is likely to be under owned but has 3 top 6 finishes in the past 4 years at the Dubai Desert Classic, and has just started to find his form after dropping away slightly in the past year or so, but was 3rd in birdie average/round in 2018.

Jason Scrivener $7900 (24th most expensive –  Cash Lock)

2 cuts from 2 starts at Dubai including T6th last year, but his form in 2019 is impressive 5 top 20 finishes in last 5 starts, and was T16th last week

Alex Bjork $7900 (25th most expensive)

T6th last year and made previous 6 cuts so far this year

 

Value Plays

David Lipsky $7400 (Cash Lock – value play)

4 cuts made from 4 in Dubai including T6th last year, won in South Africa in December and T16th last week in Abu Dhabi.

Scott Jamison $7200 ( Cash Lock – best value play)

Looks mispriced, 11th in Abu Dhabi, 3rd in Alfred Dunhill, 7 cuts from 7 starts at Dubai Desert Classic

 

Under 5% owned

Sam Horsefield ($7200)

Made 10 of previous 12 cuts but did miss cut in only previous start at Dubai Desert Classic however Top 20 in birdie/round last year

Adri Arnaus ($7100)

Challenge Tour Final winner, T22nd last week, but Spanish golfers seem to play well in Dubai

 

 

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