Trevis’ PGA Punt Plays – 2019 AT&T Byron Nelson - DFS Karma
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Trevis’ PGA Punt Plays – 2019 AT&T Byron Nelson

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For those of you new to the plethora of content DFSKarma.com puts out on a daily/weekly basis, this is my weekly PGA article that focuses on the cheapos no one else dare write about. It had massive success last year with my getting sub $7K (DK) golfers finishing top 10 at less than 1% ownership on an almost weekly basis. Well, I’m bringing it back this year with the same concept. My cap this year is $7300 in DraftKings pricing (but you can still play them on FanDuel, FantasyDraft, or Yahoo). I focus on recent form and course history heavily to spit out my favorite 5 golfers from within that range.

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That being said, my PGA Punt Plays article looks a little different (for the better) moving forward. You will see below that I have highlighted 5 players within Fantasy National within my price range of $7300 and below.

 

2019 AT&T Byron Nelson

This event is played at the Trinity Forest Golf Club as a Par 71 at over 7500 yards. It features Bermuda greens.

 

Recent Form

First off, I hate everything about this event. Everyone is focused on next week’s big one and this is more so an exhibition game.

Vaughn Taylor (Proj own 3.35%) is ranked 13th in total strokes gained. He is found of Bermuda greens, but his SG: OTT needs work. Did I mention this course is over 7500 yards?

Shawn Stefani (Proj own 3.40%) is also ranked 13th in my model. As horrible as this entire event is, he is actually the best looking Punt on paper, recent form-wise anyway. Also blows in SG: OTT.

Brendon Todd (Proj own 1.15%) has been great (recently) on Bermuda greens. He needs to be so his short game can carry his putrid long ball game.

Brian Harman (Proj own 1.45%) is ranked 25th overall in my model. Out of all 5 punts, I have the most faith in him making the cut, with Stefani being 2nd.

Colt Knost (Proj own 0.55%) is ranked 28th in total strokes gained. At sub 1% owned, near minimum salary, and being consistently mediocre across the board, I think he is worth a GPP dart.

 

Tournament History

If I would’ve told you Colt leads the list in total strokes gained over the last 5 years at this event, would you have believed me? Yeah, me neither. But, it’s true as he has TWO Top 10 finishes in his last two appearances. Like I said before, worth the GPP dart.

In the last 5 years, when Stefani made the cut and didn’t go to Dairy Queen, his worst finish was 26th (last year). I think he can make the cut and finish Top 30 again.

Brian Harman missed the cut here 3 years ago and hasn’t played since. I think he bounces back with a made cut this week, but don’t bet on a Top 20 finish from him.

VT made the cut here last year then took the rest of the weekend off. I’m betting that he out performs his 59th place finish here this go around.

Brendon Todd actually WON this event 5 years ago. Does he have a shot this week? HECK NO! But does he have the potential to make the cut? Yes, kinda, I think…

 

 

Key

SG = Strokes Gained

SG: TOT = Total

SG: T2G = Tee to Green

SG: BS = Ball Striking

SG: SG = Short Game

SG: OTT = Off The Tee

SG: APP = Approach

SG: ARG = Around The Green

SG: P = Putting

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