Ricky's StableDuel Strategy - Tampa Bay Downs 2-12-22 » DFS Karma
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StableDuel is back with another $30,000 contest. Today, they put their contest at Tampa Bay Downs, which is hosting one of the first Kentucky Derby points races of the season. The Sam F Davis is a grade 3 race that offers 10 qualifying Kentucky Derby points to the winner. Having StableDuel pair their contest with the Tampa race card is perfect for those looking to turn $50 into $10,000+. It’s also nice to start to get a feel for the horses we may end up seeing on the first Saturday in May. I’ve went through the entire race card three times to help Karma readers focus on horses to build your stable around.

If you’re new to StableDuel, the idea is simple. Select 10 horses to build your “stable” while staying within the salary cap of $50,000. Horses are assigned prices based on their morning line odds, so you cannot use all favorites in your stable. StableDuel awards points for horses that come 1st – 5th and subtracts horses that finish outside of the top 5. This is why it is crucial to make sure you’re reading our content to narrow in on value horses that we think can get points.

In today’s Tampa Slam contest, the top prize is over $10,000 while the top 100 finishers are going to at least double their money. There are 11 races on todays Tampa card and it starts out with the most brutal string of maiden races in the first FIVE races. I’ve touched on it before, but I usually try to stay away from maiden races that feature a lot of first time starters. So with that said, the majority of my stable will be built with a ‘stacking’ technique in races 6-11. Stacking is essentially doubling up from the same race, usually with a high price and a mid to low price horse. I will outline a few key horses below in their respective price tiers.

Let’s hope someone from Karma takes down another big contest as Caleb did two weeks ago when he won $15,000 on Pegasus day!

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High Price Favorites

Classic Causeway $8,000 – Race 10
Classic Causeway hasn’t been seen since his 2nd place finish in the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs in November. Prior to that race, he grabbed third place in the Grade 1 Breeders Futurity. It’ll be interesting to see how this horse does after a 3 month layoff, but being spotted in a Grade 3 Sam F Davis is certainly a step down from his previous races. I am hopeful that this horse will come back and use that class to springboard that into a win.

 

Mid Price Plays

Gladys $6000 – Race 9
I struggled to find true Mid Price plays that I liked. I actually prefer a lot of sub $1000 horses today, which afforded me the ability to put in more High Priced favorites. But I do think Gladys could have a decent shot in the 9th race. This is an allowance race on the turf that was sandwiched between 4 stakes races on the dirt. This horse is getting much needed class relief after tracking and fading versus some higher caliber turf horses, including a $100K stakes race at Gulfstream. That’s the other angle I like. Gulfstream Park generally has the “better” quality of horses, so I am always looking for horses coming to Tampa from there or the New York circuit. I don’t know if this horse will win, but I like 3rd or better if you need a mid-priced play.

 

Value Plays

Unpredictable Bay $250 / Kitten’s Mischief $750 – Race 10
Staying true to what I said in the opening, I will be doubling up in race 10. I absolutely love both of these horses and I think it’ll come down to what kind of money you have left. Starting with Unpredictable Bay. This horse is 20-1 on the morning line and is incredible value for a horse that is likely to be left alone up front. While he only has 1 win to his name in 7 starts, he has never finished outside of the money. Unpredictable Bay has run routes, sprints and just about every distance in between. I know this is a hike up in class, but if Classic Causeway lets Unpredictable Bay have his way up front, we could be in line for a MASSIVE upset. Now imagine if Classic Causeway does put some fire to Unpredictable Bay’s hooves. Think that opens the door for Kitten’s Mischief to steal the entire race. Again, we are dealing with a hike up in class, but this horse could just be right place – right time. I think all three of these horses need to be used on your live money wager tickets as well.

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