Bundesliga Breakdown 6/6 – Ram’s Reasons - DFS Karma
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Bundesliga Breakdown 6/6 – Ram’s Reasons

A great Saturday morning slate on DraftKings! Four games all starting at 9:30 EST. Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich (-215), Frankfurt (-105) vs Mainz, Red Bull (-800) vs Paderborn, and Dusseldorf vs Hoffenheim (+145) are the games. We see a huge favorite in Red Bull vs the last team in the standings, we get the machine Bayern, as a road favorite vs an exciting team that beat them 2-1 earlier this season,  Frankfurt is tough since they played Wednesday so rotation is expected and Hoffenheim vs Dusseldorf is really a dead even match on paper. 

 

Forwards:

High Priced (11.3k- 8k):

Werner– (Cash?/GPP) man that is expensive for a goal reliant player like Timo, but he is projected for 5 SOG which is wild. We’ve seen a lot of transfer talk recently about him (linked to Chelsea for 60mil) so not sure what that possibly does to him .

Lewandowski– (cash/GPP) $700 less than Werner and just as likely to score a brace IMO. He had 4 SOG last game vs Leverkusen so the chances will be there.

Nkunku– (Cash/GPP) a cheaper exposure to the vaunted RB attack… he’s in great form and goals will keep coming for him. Set piece taker too is an upside. 

Muller- (Cash/GPP) see a pattern for the high-priced options? Its Red Bull or Bayern, not both. Muller is the old stalwart for Bayern, I doubt I pay for him on this slate as I just like other pieces more but nothing wrong with him.

Skov- (GPP) he’s been up here every week, double figures in every game back, and mostly in peripherals as only 1 G, 1 A. Great matchup, a solid piece to have for Hoffenheim.

Schick– (GPP) took a small knock last game out but trained and should be fine… he has goals in two straight games and took 7 shots in just 68 minutes last game out… love to see that!

Mid- Priced (7.7k- 5.6k):

Thommy (GPP) I don’t have much interest in Dusseldorf in general this week. But he’s the only attacker I like for them. 

Volland/Bailey (GPP) I will group these guys together as both probably don’t start… even if they do, it’s a tough matchup but they linked up both times last time out with Volland assisting Bailey in their 2-1 win. Volland is just coming back from injury too.

Coman/Davies (Cash/GPP) I will group these two as well since its only $100 difference. Both have amazing upside; Davies has been in exceptional form and Coman will have his chances. I love both plays and will have exposure to both.

Baumgartner (GPP) had a back to earth after a ceiling game, depending on lineup he could be in a great spot again.

Silva (Cash/GPP) Sub risk, but he’s the goal scorer for Frankfurt.  Always seems to be around the ball in the box but don’t be surprised if Dost starts.

Dost (GPP) speaking of Dost… I don’t like him nearly as much as Silva, but he can still score, and Frankfurt has been creating chances due to Kostic playing on a different planet. 

Diaby (GPP) if I’m playing a Leverkusen forward, it’s him. He’s got a great ceiling and if lineup is constructed like I assume it will be he should have some room to run.

Cheapies (5.5k-3.5k):

Antwi-Adjei (GPP) biggest underdog but he has been producing and Red Bull haven’t been very clean at the back allowing 2 goals in each of the last 2. He’s my only punt for this slate. 

 

Midfielders:

High Priced (10k- 7.5k):

Kostic (Cash/GPP) the crossing machine!! 16,8,19 last 3 games for crosses… wow. Only concern here is he played 90 midweek… does he get subbed early? Come off the bench? Keep a close eye. Otherwise, he’s as safe as it gets.

Gnabry (GPP) I can’t see paying up at Midfielder and it being anyone but Kostic but he’s a great GPP piece of the big red machine of Bayern. Hasn’t fully found his form yet since break.

Sabitzer/Angelino (Cash/GPP) grouped these two together, both have good upside but not the floors I like to spend 8k on. But the matchup doesn’t get much better and Angelino finally looked the part last game… maybe they are starting to click.

Mid-Priced (7.4k- 5.5k):

Havertz (GPP) amazing to see him this low but he is a little banged up, Leverkusen are getting healthier and of course the matchup is as tough as it gets. Love the upside for the price but not for the faint of heart.

Demirbay (GPP) same boat as Havertz but man, I don’t see myself playing much if any Leverkusen.

Kamada (GPP) keep eye on lineup… could be in a good spot to succeed. 2 goals in last 3 games. 

Kaderbak (Cash/GPP) keep eye on lineup once again, his price is back to playable I like the upside he brings for 6.2k

Goretzka (GPP) Thiago should be back so not sure we see Goretzka, but he has been producing when in the lineup and he’s only 6.1k for a Bayern piece.

Martin (Cash/GPP) 10 crosses in the 5-0 defeat to Red Bull, set piece taker for under 6k…. I like it. 

Amiri/Bellarabi (GPP) cheap Leverkusen is the theme of the slate… do you dabble? I like Bellarabi more than Amiri and he’s a good price for a punt.

 Cheapies (5.4k-3k):

Rudy (Cash/GPP) solid floor, has hit 10.9 twice in the last three games. The one he didn’t he was subbed at halftime. 

Thiago (Cash) not a huge ceiling but he could get to double digits if he plays 75 and finds a little offense with his peripherals.

Laimer (Cash/GPP) I have been playing him every game and he has an assist in each of the last 3 games. Picked up a little knock last game so check lineups but can’t get a better matchup than this and for 4.3k. 

Kunde (GPP) could get a start, if Martin sits, he is a must play.

Rode (Cash/GPP) has hit a few rough games but has double digit upside easily… and for 4.2k I like that.

Adams (GPP) don’t be surprised if he gets a start and is a man on a mission. Could be the piece you need to take one down.

Ilsanker (GPP) well he scored twice as a substitute midweek… but no I won’t be playing him even if he starts. I’d rather Gacinovic if he starts up front again. 

Defenders:High Priced (6.3k-4.5k):

Kimmich (Cash LOCK/GPP LOCK) he’s back at defense and at 6.3k?! Yes please. Don’t overthink it.

Chandler (GPP) if he plays forward, I really like the matchup… not a fulltime starter so check lineups but I like his upside even at 5.1k

Pavard (Cash/GPP) man if I could pay up at both defenses, he’s an easy play at 5k but Kimmich floor and ceiling is just that much higher.

Mukiele (GPP) matchup is ideal but man, his floor is not as high as I want from a high-priced defender. CS is safe, but they’ve been leaky.

Mid-Priced (4.4k- 3.5k):

Hinteregger (GPP) let me down midweek, was a fouling machine but his upside remains if he could get a CS again.

Alaba (Cash/GPP) solid… picks up peripherals but not sure they keep a CS

Gisselman (GPP) has a good floor for a 4k defender, should be a pretty even battle and peripherals will be available.

Posch (Cash/GPP) has really been hitting value. 8.1, 3.5, 8.3, 6.8 since coming back and he’s only 3.5k still.

Cheapies (3.4k-2.5k):

Sinkgraven (GPP) won’t get a CS but has a chance to pick up peripherals and Leverkusen are not shy about getting forward. 

Ayhan (Cash/GPP) he’s been solid too… 6.3 and 5.4 in his two starts since return. I’d take that from 3.2k

Strohdiek (GPP) sure he won’t get a CS but even in the 6-1 thrashing by BVB he scored 5.2… and he’s 2.9k.

Niakhate (GPP) 6.2 last time out vs a similar team… could recreate it and for 2.7k

Goalkeeper:

Gulacsi (Cash/GPP) is the most expensive and best bet at a W and a CS.

Trapp (GPP) had a great showing midweek with a CS/W with 3 saves vs Bremen. Maybe they build on that. Beat Wolfsburg 2-1 before that. 

Baumann (Cash/GPP) has had 2 solid outings in a row… 15.3 and 14.4. Gets another good matchup, will probably be my most owned GK

Hradecky (GPP) he had 10 saves vs Bayern last time… 10!! Even if he lets in 3-4 and gets 5-6 saves, he hits value. I like it even if you play 2-3 Bayern. 

Hope this has helped you narrow your player pool a bit and as always, I will be around with our amazing Soccer team in the Karma Discord when lineups are announced. 

-Rampower2010

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