Total Base Race – Houston Astros/Baltimore Orioles
The Houston Astros and Baltimore Orioles is a great game to target on Monkey Knife Fight’s Total Base Race contest. Vegas has the total set at 10.5 runs, and the Astros are -232 favorites. Dylan Bundy has a horrible 35% ground ball rate, and he is very susceptible to the home run. Both George Springer and Alex Bregman have home run upside, but are also consistent enough to trust in a total bases contest. Springer enters the game with a positive 0.052 ISO differential, and in the last 15 days, he has an average exit velocity on batted balls of 97 MPH. His ground ball rate is 37%, and his hard hit rate is an outstanding 67%. In his last 10 games, he is hitting .275 with 2 doubles, 2 triples, 2 home runs, and 6 walks. As an added bonus, he is expected to leadoff, so he should see an additional at-bat. Bregman has been outstanding over his last 10 games, hitting just under .400 with 5 doubles, 1 triple, and 1 home run. In the last 15 days, he has an average exit velocity on batted balls of 95 MPH, a lowly 27% ground ball rate, and a hard hit rate over 50%. Bregman has the perfect combination of upside and consistency. Finally, fill out the lineup with Pedro Severino. Monkey Knife Fight requires players from both teams to be used, and Severino has been playing well of recent. In his last 10 games, he is hitting over .300 with 1 home run and 7 walks. He gets a positive matchup against Wade Miley, as he currently sports 0.167 ISO and 0.066 wOBA differentials against left-handed pitching. In the last 15 days, he has an average exit velocity on batted balls of 93 MPH, a ground ball rate under 20%, and a hard hit rate over 40%. Between the three of these players, 8.5 total bases is not a tough request.
Play $50 on George Springer, Alex Bregman, and Pedro Severino OVER 8.5 total bases to win $100 (2x)
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NOTE: Props, players, and contests are subject to change throughout the day. Make sure to get these plays in as soon as possible.
