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We hit on Josh Bell yesterday, and I’m going back to the well for the same reasons. He’s hitting .289 with a .533 slugging percentage and an .867 OPS over his last 10 games. He also owns seven extra-base hits (two home runs) and seven RBIs over that span. With that being said, He has scored 9+ fantasy points in only one of his last eight contests. He has also struggled a bit with 39% hard hit and 48% ground ball rates to go along with a 91 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. My biggest concern in this game is the fly ball rate of Mike Foltynewicz, as he has been known for giving up home runs this season. Still, Bell is essentially banking on a home run to hit the over in this game, and his home run percentage is significantly lower than 50%, giving us value on this under.
This total has recency bias written all over it. Willy Adames has scored 10 and 23 fantasy points in his last 2 games, but He had scored 8+ fantasy points in only 1 of his last 8 games prior to that. Over his last 10 games, he’s hitting .293 with a .390 slugging percentage and a .731 OPS. He has posted only two extra-base hits with six RBIs and two steals over that span. With that being said, he has recorded 35% hard hit and 47% ground ball rates with a 90 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. He also gets a tough matchup against Daniel Norris, and enters this game with -0.94 wOBA and -0.087 ISO differentials against left-handed pitching. While he has enjoyed success over his last two contests, that isn’t nearly enough to put us on the over today.
Play $25 on Josh Bell UNDER 9.0 fantasy points and Willy Adames UNDER 7.5 fantasy points to win $62.5 (2.5x)
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