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This is a high total for Gerrit Cole, but he has scored 49+ fantasy points in six of his last eight starts. He enters this game with a 2.82 xFIP and a 2.94 SIERA. Cole also brings 36.8% strikeout and 15.6% swinging strike rates into this game. He gets an elite matchup against the Detroit Tigers, who rank fourth on the slate in strikeouts per at-bat. They also rank last in team wOBA. Cole is a ridiculous -487 favorite in a game set at 8 runs, giving the Tigers an implied run total of only 2.4 runs. Cole is near a lock for a win and quality start, making this total much more attainable.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has been playing at a high level recently, posting a .270 average with a .622 slugging percentage and a .994 OPS over his last 10 games. Over that span, he owns five extra-base hits (four home runs), eight RBIs, and three stolen bases. Acuna boasts 44% hard hit and 50% fly ball rates to go along with a 95 MPH exit velocity over the last 15 days. He has been better against left-handed pitching, but Acuna gets an elite matchup against Sandy Alcantara tonight. The Atlanta Braves should find plenty of success in this matchup, and that starts with Acuna.
Play $25 on Gerrit Cole OVER 49.0 fantasy points and Ronald Acuna Jr. OVER 10.5 fantasy points to win $62.5 (2.5x)
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