MLB BATTER UP April 11th, 2019
In this article I’ll be keeping a similar approach to how I built my article last season with my stacks, players I’m targeting from those stacks (and why), low-owned home run calls per position, and highest upside plays per position. As always, keep in touch with me through Discord and Twitter (@DF_Advantage) to suggest things you’d like me to add or take away from this article.
One of the most important concepts to understand in DFS MLB. Watch our daily YouTube live podcast for more information on this understanding/mindset. Keep in mind it is ok to stack 4 guys or 3 from the same team. This mathematically increases your chances of “cashing” in tournaments. It isn’t as necessary to stack in cash games (double ups/heads up). Below is our rankings starting from the best at number 1.
Not only will I be identifying two teams I believe you should target in GPPs, but I will also discuss in the analysis which specific players I want exposure from these two teams AND why.
Bobby’s #1 Leverage Stack of the Slate: Mets – With only 5 games on the main slate tonight it will be crucial to play like a contrarian and find that leverage stack that will go under-owned due to a potential over-exposure of a pitcher. Obviously, this stack will naturally be a high-bust/high-upside play where the pitcher is in a better spot but the batters provide a ceiling that isn’t factored into their projected ownership levels. The Mets are looking like they will go completely overlooked on a slate that with DFS Karma projections, this team is implied for the second highest amount of runs on the slate. While I definitely agree that you will need some pieces of the Red Sox tonight, a 5-man Mets stack opens up a ton of different ways to go with the rest of your lineup. After Gausman had a dominating start to the season people are not only going to be playing him tonight but will be afraid to target him. This Mets team has shown some unlikely pop throughout their lineup early on. Michael Conforto is pricey here but is really worth the price tag as he projects for a wOBA over .345 and an ISO over .200. Although Gausman has been better against lefties in his career his xFIP has actually been higher against lefties so Conforto gets the advantage over his righty teammates tonight. Other players I’m looking to target tonight from this Mets team include Robinson Cano (great value), Brandon Nimmo (one of my favorite plays on the slate), and either Jeff McNeil or Pete Alonso depending on how much salary you can afford. Use this Mets stack to gain a huge advantage and leverage over the field tonight.
- Best “One-Off” – Brandon Nimmo
- Best Bet for a Homerun – Michael Conforto
Make sure to stay up to date with my core plays which can be utilized for cash games and single entry GPPs by DMing me on twitter and signing up for our core plays at www.dfskarma.com/shop (use promo code DOUBLEPLAY to get a discount). I will always be in discord, as usual, answering questions and giving additional insight to our subscribers and community on the day’s slate.
Bobby’s BOMB’S PER POSITION (Proj. ISO)
C: T. Flowers (.250 )
1B: P. Alonso (.245)
2B: R. Cano (.213 )
SS: T. Story (.244)
3B: N. Arenado (.207 )
OF1: R. Grichuck (.283 )
OF2: B. Nimmo (.247 )
OF3: B. Belt (.207)
Highest Ceiling Player Per Position (Price/Ownership Not Considered)
C: Wilson Ramos
1B: Freddie Freeman
2B: Ozzie Albies
SS: Xander Boagerts
3B: Josh Donaldson
OF1: Mookie Betts
OF2: JD Martinez
OF3: Ronald Acuna
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