Bales’ MyBookie Bets
St. Louis Cardinals
Austin Gomber (-160)
Gomber has been playing at a high level this season, posting a 5-0 record with a 2.77 ERA through 24 games (seven starts). Gomber has also allowed two or fewer earned runs in nine of his last 10 games, although he threw an inning or less in three of those games. He gets a tough matchup against the Detroit Tigers, although Gomber has been a reverse splits pitcher this season. He’s holding right-handed batters to a .209 average with a .338 slugging percentage and a .290 wOBA. This is important because Detroit is expected to utilize a lineup with nine right-handed batters. St. Louis gets a matchup against Daniel Norris, who has struggled in limited action this season. The Cardinals have also featured an offense that is at it’s best against left-handed pitching.
Bet 2 units on St. Louis -1.5 RL to win 2.1 units (+105)
Tampa Bay Rays
Blake Snell (-260)
It’s tough to avoid Blake Snell at home. Through 11 home starts, he owns an 8-1 record with a 1.06 ERA. He has also allowed one or fewer earned run in each of his last five home starts. Tampa Bay has also featured a more consistent offense at home, where they own a 63.1% win rate. Snell is also holding his opponents to a .175 average with a .297 slugging percentage and a .236 wOBA in Tampa Bay this season. He gets a matchup against the Baltimore Orioles, who own a 1-5 record, while averaging 2.5 runs per game over the last week. The Rays get a matchup against Dylan Bundy, who owns a 1-6 record with an 8.46 ERA over his last 10 starts. He has allowed three or more earned runs in nine of those 10 starts, as well.
Bet 4 units on Tampa Bay -1.5 RL to win 3.1 units (-130)
Kansas City Royals
Heath Fillmyer (+125)
It’s always tough to trust the Kansas City Royals, but they have quietly been playing well recently. Over the last week, they own a 4-2 record, while averaging 5.3 runs per game. Heath Fillmyer will be taking the mound for them, and he has held his opponents to two or fewer earned runs in each of his last two games. He has also held his opponents to three or fewer earned runs in eight of his last 10 games, although some were in relief duty. The Minnesota Twins are an offense that has been ice cold, posting a 1-5 record, while averaging only only 3.7 runs per game over the last week. Stephen Gonsalves will draw the start for Minnesota, and he has allowed 14 runs over 10 innings through his first three starts. Overall, he has allowed four or more runs in each of those games. The only concern in this game is Minnesota’s success at home this season.
Bet 2 units on Kansas City ML to win 2.5 units (+125)
Parlay 2 units on St. Louis ML, Philadelphia ML, Tampa Bay ML, and Oakland ML to win 8.9 units (+443)