Welcome to our MLB DFS Building Blocks, DraftKings and FanDuel picks for 6/30/22! In this article, I’ll break down by top overall plays for today’s main slate. Last year was an extremely big year for the Karma team in MLB, and we are looking to continue that success in 2022. I will be providing Core Plays for every main slate (and day baseball) this season — you can gain access to that as well as our premium discord here. Let’s get to the plays…
Above is an example of the Core Plays given out to Subscribers on Friday May 13th
We have a pair of pitchers — Aaron Nola and Logan Gilbert — projecting for over 40% ownership tonight. This will 100% be the chalky combo in cash games on DraftKings, and I don’t think I would be overthinking that much in those types of contests. For tournaments, however, this presents us an opportunity to build differently than 25%+ of the field and take a cheaper pitcher as our SP2. My favorite choice is likely Ian Anderson, who has some scary numbers this season but definitely has upside in a good match-up vs Philly. The Phillies are without Bryce Harper, and their projected lineup tonight is striking out 25% of the time vs right-handed pitching this season.
This is a great spot for Randy to get on track, matched up with Yusei Kikuchi. Kikuchi is a good strikeout pitcher, but he struggles to consistently get right-handed batters out allowing a huge .400 wOBA in the split. A-Roz’s numbers look pretty bad overall this season against lefties, but batted ball data is still strong with over 40% fly-balls and 36% hard-hits. He also throws mostly fastballs to righties — and Randy happens to be the best fastball hitter in this lineup with over a .400 wOBA and ISO against the pitch. I don’t think he will be overly owned, but he is one of my favorite overall plays on Thursday.
A lot of attention will be focused on this game tonight with hot weather and winds blowing out in Wrigley Field. Graham Ashcraft has had some success for the Reds this season, but the underlying numbers are alarming. He’s allowing over a .320 wOBA in the split along with a 92 mph average exit velocity. Wisdom has the highest ISO in this lineup against righties this season sitting at a .220 mark. He also owns a .211 ISO vs sliders, which has been Ashcraft’s most-used pitch. He is projecting for over 10% ownership, and can be used in all formats in a stack or as a one-off.
A-Roz hits posts 5+ total bases tonight!
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)