Welcome to our MLB DFS Building Blocks, DraftKings and FanDuel picks for 6/8/22! In this article, I’ll break down by top overall plays for today’s main slate. Last year was an extremely big year for the Karma team in MLB, and we are looking to continue that success in 2022. I will be providing Core Plays for every main slate (and day baseball) this season — you can gain access to that as well as our premium discord here. Let’s get to the plays…
Above is an example of the Core Plays given out to Subscribers on Friday May 13th
Manaea is my top-overall play on both sites tonight, even in what appears to be a tough match-up vs a good Mets team. For starters, we know to target strikeouts in DFS and Manaea can certainly bring those to the table with a 27% K rate this season. Furthermore, while this usually would be a tougher match-up, two big right-handed bats are projected to miss tonight’s game after exiting with injuries last night — Pete Alonso and Starling Marte. If you take them out of the lineup, the current Mets team owns just a .117 ISO vs left-handed pitching this season — and nobody owns above-average numbers besides Eduardo Escobar. We have Manaea projected for around the same points as Aaron Nola, but coming in over 10% lower-owned despite what should be a strong individual match-up.
On FanDuel, it’s clear that I’m playing Manaea but on DraftKings, there are several ways to go tonight. Ian Anderson is popping as a clear value, but I don’t like the amount of righties he’s going to face so he will be avoided in my builds. I don’t love any of the other mid-tier options, so it looks like a double spend-up is the move for me once again on Wednesday. Shane Bieber was on my avoid list, but he has brought it back with a couple crazy strikeout games over his last few starts even with that decrease in velo. He does have to deal with some sketchy weather, so that’s something we need to monitor up until lock. I do think he would be at the top of my list, but if the weather gets too weird I’ll just lock in the safety of Aaron Nola alongside the ceiling of Sean Manaea for my optimal lineup.
Adrian Houser is tough to full-stack against because of his strong ground ball skills, but he is always someone I’m comfortable taking one or two power hitters against. Schwarber certainly fits that mold, and he has by far the highest fly-ball rate on the Phillies this season which will help him counteract Houser’s strongest ability. His most common pitch to left-handed batters is his sinker as well, which is great news for Schwarber. Over the last three seasons, he owns massive splits against the pitch including a .449 wOBA and a .359 ISO. He is my HR call for tonight and one of my top targets in all formats.
I love this spot for the Cubs lefties tonight, up against Jordan Lyles. Lyles has really struggled with that side of the plate this season allowing a .380 wOBA and striking out just under 20% of batters faced. Happ has some of the better numbers vs right-handed pitching on this Cubs team, and has great underlying metrics against fast balls — including a .244 ISO! Lyles most-used pitch to lefty batters is his heater, and I think that Happ is one of the premier values on Wednesday night.
Kyle Schwarber homers twice!
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)