We cashed our MLB PrizePicks bet last night. Chris Bassitt iron-manned his way to the over after he was under at 94 pitches. With that being said, he easily cleared the 5.5 total with 7 strikeouts. Trevor Rogers didn’t have anything working against the Philadelphia Phillies as he struggled with control the entire game. He ended with only 2 strikeouts, which was well below his 5.5 total. We’re sticking with MLB tonight, although we’re shifting over to Monkey Knife Fight tonight. Below, you’ll find my favorite prop pick for the San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs.
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Prop Pick – San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs
Willson Contreras over 1.5 total bases
I generally prefer to play pitchers on prop sites, but these numbers are too good to pass up. The wind is blowing out around 20 mph and the temperature is roughly 90 degrees. It’s the ideal hitting weather, and that’s why we’re taking a chance on the hitters.
Contreras gets an elite matchup against Ryan Weathers, who will be pitching for the first time this season. The Chicago catcher boasts an elite .340 average against left-handed pitching this season. He’s also posted an .880 slugging percentage, 1.330 OPS, and .540 ISO against lefties throughout 2022.
Contreras is expected to hit second in the Cubs lineup tonight. He’ll see plenty of opportunities, as the Chicago offense should find plenty of success. Everything is aligning for him, as it doesn’t get better than a matchup against a weak left-handed pitcher with elite weather in Chicago.
Jake Cronenworth over 1.5 hits & walks
Cronenworth’s been playing at an elite level in recent games. He’s hitting for a .389 average with a .667 slugging percentage and a 1.167 OPS over his last 10 games. Cronenworth’s also posted 3+ hits in each of his last 2 games. In those contests, he’s gotten on base 7 times.
He gets a solid matchup against Caleb Killian, who’s only made one start this season. He gave up 3 hits with 2 walks over 5 innings. Although Killian flashed strikeout potential against the St. Louis Cardinals, I’m not overly concerned with that for Cronenworth.
The San Diego second baseman is expected to hit second in their lineup. He’ll see ample opportunities to get hits and walks. Cronenworth also gets the same elite weather as Contreras, although it won’t help him quite as much with the wind blowing more toward left than right.
Bet Willson Contreras “more than” 1.5 total bases and Jake Cronenworth “more than” 1.5 hits & walks to 3x your buy-in