NFL DFS Week 13- Darnell’s SuperDraft Plays - DFS Karma
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NFL DFS Week 13- Darnell’s SuperDraft Plays

Quarterbacks

Ryan Fitzpatrick (1.6x) is back as the starter for the Miami Dolphins while the rookie heals his thumb. Fitzpatrick has been quite efficient at the beginning of this season, and he will look to build upon that against a bad Cincinnati team. 1.6x is too high of a multiplier for Fitzpatrick in this spot. The Bengals should struggle to move the ball, thus allowing him to have more opportunities. The Bengals have the worst pass rush in the league, which should give Fitzpatrick tons of time to find his targets. This is my favorite quarterback play on SuperDraft.

I like the idea of Phillip Rivers (1.5x) getting a 50% bonus against a bad Houston Texans defense. They have the third worst overall defense in the NFL. Deshaun Watson’s ability to keep games moderately close should bode well for Rivers’ being needed to throw the ball for most of the game. Rivers loves to spread the ball around to various targets, but he is a veteran quarterback with a great mind for the game and a highly competitive spirit. I don’t think the Texans will have an answer for this passing attack. If Rivers can convert some of his drives into passing touchdowns, it will maximize his upside.

Also: Mitchell Trubisky(1.6x) versus the Detroit Lions.

Despite him being highly projected, I will just have to fade Taysom Hill (1.55x). He has looked like a right-handed Tim Tebow and I will not be investing my quarterback slot on him. He does have rushing touchdown upside but rushing touchdowns for a quarterback are usually fluky and random. He has four touchdowns on the ground in the past two games, but outside of that he has been a quarterback worthy of a 3x multiplier. No thank you for me.

Running Backs

With Josh Jacobs being ruled out after SuperDraft pricing was released, it allowed Devontae Booker (1.85x) to become my favorite play by a lot. This multiplier is insane for a running back that should be getting the lion share of the work on a run-first team. The New York Jets have the fourth best rushing defense in the NFL. With Booker being involved in the passing game, and the Jets not being able to keep the offense on the field, I think Booker will have a monster game with this juicy multiplier.

There are two running backs with the same multiplier that I like. I am torn between these two as to who gets the nod as my second favorite running back play. Austin Eckler (1.3x) gets targeted a lot in the passing game, almost like a second-string wide receiver. This elevates his floor and gives him another way to get into the end zone.  The matchup against the Patriots is not bad, but the fact that the Patriots like to play ball control football increases the chances that Eckler will be on the sidelines longer than he would want to be. James Robinson (1.3x) has a matchup against an awful Minnesota Vikings defense. The Jaguars have one win on the season, but I will not blame Robinson for this. He has been a workhorse for a majority of the season, seeing passing targets and a lot of carries. His consistency and the fact that he gets the ball no matter how the game is going makes me feel more comfortable playing him. I love both of these plays, so I won’t argue against either.

I also like Myles Gaskin (1.45x)

Wide Receivers

Although his quarterback annoys people, Allen Robinson (1.4x) against the Detroit Lions is a player that I want to be involved with. In my opinion, Robinson has the biggest disparity between his talent and the quality of his quarterback(s) in the NFL. He is too good to be hampered by such subpar quarterback play. The Lions second-worst defense should be a cure for this. A 40% bonus for a receiver that could challenge to be one of the top scorers on the slate is where I will be looking to go.

Brandin Cooks (1.45x) will likely be one of the highest owned receivers on the slate. Will Fuller has been suspended and Will (see what I did there) miss the rest of the year. This will open up more targets for Cooks and Keke Coutee (1.9x) Cooks is definitely the way to go because he will be the number one guy. Coutee has a good amount of upside with a 90% bonus and with Randall Cobb out, his role will increase. Houston receivers will be popular, so you can go with either of these depending on your risk tolerance.

Since the Houston guys were a cop-out answer, I will introduce you a big play threat on a terrible offense. Denzel Mims (1.8x) is someone I have interest in. Sam Darnold is a better quarterback than Joe Flacco and Mims has seemed to have solidified his role. He gets intermediate targets, but his upside is in the number of deep targets he gets. The New York Jets get to face the league’s worst overall defense. Whether the Jets win or not, I think this will be the best chance for them to move the ball and I think Mims will be a decent part of that. The 1.8x multiplier gives him immense upside

Tight Ends

Anthony Firkser (2.0x) has a multiplier as if he is the backup tight end. Jonnu Smith will not play this Sunday so that makes Firkser priced incorrectly for his dream matchup against the Cleveland Browns. He will see a full point per reception and every yard will count as two for him. The Browns refuse to guard tight ends so it’s not much else to say other than Firkser is my favorite play at the position on SuperDraft.

With all of the love that I have for the Miami Dolphins passing attack, Mike Gesicki (1.4x) is no exception. I think Miami will have a lot of success moving the ball against the Cincinnati Bengals. I think he will be able to get open against this soft defense and he has a good chance of getting into the end zone.

I also have interest in Dallas Godert (1.35x) and Jordan Aikens (1.85x)

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