CFB DFS Game Theory: Friday (11/19) - DFS Karma
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CFB DFS Game Theory: Friday (11/19)

We are excited to bring you our CFB DFS Game Theory. This piece of content is created to help break down each slate and label plays into four, very easy to follow categories: Cash, safe GPP/upside, low owned GPP, and fades. Utilizing this piece of content, along with other DFS Karma CFB content, will help make your lineup construction more effective and lead you to being a more consistent DFS player.

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QB RB WR Top Stack
Clayton Tune Max Borghi C. Austin III Houston
Jayden de Laura Brad Roberts Romeo Doubs Memphis
Seth Henigan Frank Gore Jr. Eddie Lewis WSU
Carson Strong Alton McCaskill Smoke Harris Louisiana Tech
JD Head Charles Williams Nathaniel Dell AF

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Slate Thoughts:

Week 12


  • Clayton Tune gets a solid matchup tonight vs. a Memphis defense that is allowing 260 pass yards per game.  Tune is averaging over 30 pass attempts per game, and though not a dual threat guy, he does just enough with his legs to keep his rushing numbers on the positive side of things.  This is a game you will want multiple pieces from, as it has the highest total on the slate.  Tune comes in priced $1300 cheaper than Henigan.
  • Jayden de Laura has played really solid football so far this year.  He leads one of the best passing attacks in the Pac-12 vs one of the worst defenses in the conference.  He threw for 280 yards and 2 touchdowns vs. Oregon last week, also rushing for one.  He is not a huge threat running the ball, but around the goal line, he is always a threat to pick one up.  I think you will want to pair him up with his two stud wideouts in Jackson and Harris.  WSU is one of my favorite teams to stack on this slate, right behind Memphis and Houston.
Others to consider: JD Head (LT); Lucas Johnson (SDSU); H. Daniels (AF)

Running Back

  • Max Borghi is facing an Arizona team that allows 172 rush yards per game, and could find some more opportunities here.  He is someone who can break off big chunks of yards, as well is very good in the red zone.  He can also be a threat in the passing game.  With so many stud wide receivers on this slate, I don’t mind taking the savings I get with Borghi and spending up at WR.
  • Frank Gore Jr. has seen 20+ carries in 2 of his last 3 games .  In those games he has averaged 6 yards or more per carry in two of the three.  He has only reached the end zone twice this year, which worries me a little, however he should see plenty of opportunities in this one.  Louisiana Tech allow 163 rush yards per game, and with a struggling quarterback under center for USM I expect Gore to be leaned on a little more in this one.  I see him finding the end zone here, and with 20 plus carries vs. this defense, he could be in store for a big night.
Others to consider: C. Williams (UNLV); A. McCaskill (UH); M. Williams Jr. (LT); G. Bell (SDSU); B. Roberts (AF)

Wide Receiver

  • Calvin Austin III was a little beat up in the Tigers last game vs. ECU, and because of that received limited snaps.  He is expected to be back to a normal workload here vs. Houston.  With that, he becomes one of the top plays on the slate.  When healthy, he was averaging over 10 targets per game and nearly 9 receptions per game.  He has two games with 200+ receiving yards and 5 this year with over 100 receiving yards.  Austin is the 3rd highest priced receiver on the slate, but my top overall option at the position.  It is hard to pass on a healthy Calvin Austin.
  • I talked about how much I like de Laura tonight vs. Arizona, a big reason I like him so much is because he has two stud receivers he is throwing the ball too.  Travell Harris and Calvin Jackson Jr. are the top two pass catchers in this offense, and both are capable of putting up huge days.  Jackson is more of the big play threat, averaging nearly 15 yards per receptions.  While Harris runs more underneath routes, and can rack up the receptions, averaging 6.2 receptions per game.  He is coming off a big game vs. Oregon where he had 8 catches for 109 yards and a touchdown.  Harris, does however, have the ability to stretch a defense as well.  I love a stack of de Laura, Harris and Jackson Jr.
Others to consider: N. Dell (UH); R. Doubs (NEV); T. Horton (NEV); S. Harris (LT); K. Williams (UNLV); S. Berryhill III (ARIZ); S. Dykes (MEM); E. Lewis (MEM); K. Carter (UH)

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Good luck tomorrow guys!

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