CFB DFS Game Theory: Saturday (11/13) - DFS Karma
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CFB DFS Game Theory: Saturday (11/13)

We are excited to bring you our CFB DFS Game Theory. This piece of content is created to help break down each slate and label plays into four, very easy to follow categories: Cash, safe GPP/upside, low owned GPP, and fades. Utilizing this piece of content, along with other DFS Karma CFB content, will help make your lineup construction more effective and lead you to being a more consistent DFS player.

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QB RB WR Top Stack
Tyler Van Dyke Kenneth Walker III David Bell Ohio State
CJ Stroud Braelon Allen Chris Olave Miami
Taulia Tagovailoa TreVeyon  Henderson Reggie Roberson Jr. Oklahoma
Bo Nix Leddie Brown Jayden Reed Baylor
Aidan O’Connell Dillon Johnson Michael Woods Minnesota

*Depending on your mobile device, you might need to tilt it sideways to view the full table*


Slate Thoughts:

Week 11


  • You know this slate is an odd one when you are considering Freshman quarterback Tyler Van Dyke as one of your cash game quarterbacks.  As crazy as it sounds, when you look at his stats and what he has accomplished over the last 4 weeks, it may not be as crazy as you think.  He has thrown for 1404 yards and 11 touchdowns over those 4 weeks.  He has a completion percentage of 65% over those 4 games.  FSU have really struggled defensively this year, paving the way for a big day from Van Dyke.
  • Taulia Tagovailoa has burnt me way to many times over the last two years, but I keep on coming back for more.  He couldn’t have a better matchup on hands this week, getting to face a Michigan State defense that ranks near last in defending the pass.  We watched Aidan O’Connell and the Purdue Boilermakers torch this MSU secondary last week, something that Maryland should be able to do.  Tagovailoa has attempted 40+ pass attempts in two straight games.  I expect Maryland to air it out early and often in this one, giving Tagovailoa plenty of opportunities to produce big numbers.  He is priced at only 5.9k on DK and is one of my core plays in my main lineup.
Others to consider: Bo Nix (AUB); C. Williams (OKLA); Will Rogers (MSST)

Running Back

  • Kenneth Walker has been on fire this year.  He is averaging 6.8 ypc, 150 ypg and has 15 touchdowns.  I see no way that this Maryland team is able to slow down Walker and this MSU rushing attack.  Walker is on the short list for Heisman Favorites, and this is yet another opportunity to add to his resume.  Walker is my top running back this weekend.  I expect a HUGE day from him and the rest of the Spartan offense.
  • Braelon Allen is going to see a very heavy workload this weekend with the season ending injury to Chez Mellusi.  Allen was already averaging 15 rush attempts per game over his last 5 games, now he will be picking up Mellusi’s vacated rushes, which should push Allen up to the 25+ rush attempt range.  He is priced at only 8.2k, and with the added volume he should receive this weekend, plus Northwestern allowing 250 rush yards per game, this sets up as a smash spot for Allen and Wisconsin rushing attack.  Allen will be a core play for me this weekend.
Others to consider: J. Knighton (MIA); J. Marks (MSST); T. Bigsby (AUB); B. Hall (ISU)

Wide Receiver

  • David Bell comes in priced below 7k this week, for reasons I’m unsure of.  Bell receives a massive volume of targets in this Purdue passing game, and even though they are facing a capable Ohio State secondary, they should be playing from behind for most of the game.  Playing catchup ball, will give Bell a great opportunity to pick up a massive amount of targets.  I would not mind being over exposed to this Purdue passing attack due to the heavy volume of passing we should see from them.
  • Rakim Jarrett and Marcus Fleming are number 1 and 2 in this Maryland pass game when it comes to snaps and routes ran.  They are both priced at 4.5k and below, making them very interesting options in all formats.  Maryland loves to throw the ball, and now their strength plays right into the weakness of Michigan State.  Both Jarrett and Fleming make tons sense in a stack with Tagovailoa in tournaments.
Others to consider: C. Olave (OSU); T. Fryfogle (IU); K. Smith (MIA); M. Woods (OU): R. Roberson (SMU)

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Good luck tomorrow guys!

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