Minnesota Vikings (-1500)
I’ve been picking on the Buffalo Bills early this season, and I’m doing it once again this week. We’re at the point where I’m getting close to avoiding their game with this ridiculous spread, though. Buffalo, who was expected to have a solid defense this season, has struggled in each of their first two games, allowing a total of 78 points. Buffalo has also struggle to score points, totaling only 23 points in two games. The only true concern in this game is Minnesota’s offense, as they are *only* averaging 26.5 points per game this season. They are arguably the best defense Buffalo will have faced this season, though, specifically in Minnesota. Simply put, Buffalo will be out-classed in every aspect of this game. After losing by 11 and 44 points in their first two games, they get arguably the toughest matchup to date. They could also be without LeSean McCoy, although it may not matter, as he is not seeing enough touches to truly make a difference.
Bet 4 units on Minnesota -17 spread to win 3.5 units (-115)
Cincinnati Bengals (+115)/Carolina Panthers (-135)
The Cincinnati Bengals have found plenty of ways to score points this season, as they have scored 34 points in each of their first two games. They get a matchup against the Carolina Panthers, who recently allowed 31 points to the Atlanta Falcons. In my WR/CB Matchups article, I outline a great matchup for A.J. Green, who is arguably the biggest factor in Cincinnati’s offense. The biggest hit to the Bengals will be Joe Mixon’s injury, but Gio Bernard has proven time and time again that he is a more than capable starter when needed. Carolina struggled a bit in their first game against the Dallas Cowboys before scoring 24 points against Atlanta last week. Cincinnati’s defense has been far from overpowering, and this game should feature plenty of scoring, especially since both teams are used to playing on the east coast.
Bet 2 units on Cincinnati/Carolina 44.5o to win 1.8 units (-110)
San Francisco 49ers (+240)/Kansas City Chiefs (-300)
This bet is fairly simple. I don’t believe anyone can truly stop the Kansas City Chiefs, while they also cannot stop any other offense, including the San Francisco 49ers. The Chiefs have scored 38 and 42 points in their first two games, while allowing 28 and 37 points in those games. They have easily surpassed 57 points in each of those games. San Francisco struggled with 16 points in their opening game against the Minnesota Vikings, although that game was played in Minnesota. Last week, they scored 30 points, proving they can keep up with top offenses, especially in plus matchups. Kansas City’s defense is allowing over 500 yards per game, and San Francisco has proven that they can be a quick-hit type of offense, keeping this game going at a fast paced. At some point, Kansas City will regress, but this is not a matchup to be overly concerned with in that department.
Bet 2 units on San Francisco/Kansas City 57o to win 1.8 units (-110)
Parlay 2 units on Green Bay ML, Chicago -6.5 spread, New England -7 spread, and Miami ML to win 17.3 units (+867)