What’s up everyone and welcome to Ben’s Building Blocks! If you’ve never read my content before, welcome. To those that have, welcome back. I truly appreciate everyone that reads and supports during NFL season. This article is designed for me to highlight the top plays of the week, and my overall player pool for the main slate. Obviously, things can change rapidly in the NFL with injury news on the weekends, so I would be sure to subscribe to our premium package for access to my Final Thoughts cheat sheet, our premium discord channel and my core plays. Our Core Plays product gives you the ability to tail all of our analysts in your contests each week. We do the work for you, and you simply plug and play with our premium Core Plays. With that being said, let’s hop into the playoffs…
The DFS prices used below are for the daily main slate on OwnersBox Fantasy. If you’ve never checked out OwnersBox Fantasy — CLICK HERE and use Promo Code KARMA for a 100% deposit match up to $500 along with a free $10 DFS contest entry.
Dak Prescott ($6,700)
We’ve finally made it to the divisional round, and I simply can’t believe that we’ve come this full season and I’m somehow on the Cowboys. It amazes me that we’ve come a full season for me to end up on a team I typically fade, yet here we are. I think the Cowboys are extremely live to win this game, and their players are projecting to come in very under-owned in DFS. If we look at ownership projections for the full four game slate — Dak Prescott is catching a sub-7% OWN% projection making him the lowest-owned QB on the slate. Yes, the guy that just dropped 40 DK points in Tampa Bay is going to be the lowest owned option. I love this 49ers team, I’m holding an 18/1 49ers SB ticket, but I think the market is overrating their defense just a bit. Not that they aren’t great, they are, but just a few weeks ago Jarrett Stidham dropped 365-3 on them. Did Geno Smith really struggle in terms of fantasy points last weekend? I can’t say I love the match-up, but if Dak is able to play close to what he did on Monday I’m taking this ownership discount all day long. He has a much higher ceiling than Brock Purdy in my opinion, but will be half the ownership. I like Dak to throw multiple touchdowns this weekend, and I think him being the lowest-owned guy is a mistake.
Miles Sanders ($6,100)
Another ownership projection I think we can exploit on a small slate, is locking in Miles Sanders over Travis Etienne. It appears everyone wants to click on Etienne this week despite mediocre passing game results and the likelihood that the Jaguars are trailing all game in Arrowhead. Sanders is healthy for the first time in almost a month, he got a much needed week off and won’t have an injury designation this weekend. I think it’s clear the Eagles are going to lean on their run-game here — and Sanders hung over 50 yards on this team a few weeks ago. More importantly, Lane Johnson will be back on the o-line which is huge for Philadelphia. Their run-game and overall offensive numbers take a huge hit with him off the field, which could be another reason for their struggles down the stretch of the season. If Sanders does the bulk of the work like I’m expecting, in a positive game-script, he can easily outscore Etienne at a similar price point.
Christian Kirk ($6,400)
I absolutely love this spot for Christian Kirk, and I love pairing him in a mini-stack with Travis Kelce. Kirk shredded this defense a few weeks ago posting a 9-105-2 line. They rank dead-last vs slot receivers this season and we should see good game-script here with the Jaguars 9 point underdogs. Furthermore, KC plays a very man-heavy defensive scheme and Kirk has dominated the targets with almost 33% of Lawrence’s looks against man-coverage this season per Jordan Vanek of the 33rd team. It’s not hard to see why Kirk excelled in this match-up earlier, and it appears most will be looking at Zay Jones or Evan Engram due to their cheap price tags. We know Kirk has a big ceiling for his price, and pairing him with Kelce is a great way to mini-stack this game without having to use the QB position if you don’t want to.
I’m not writing up a specific tight-end, because I think it’s really hard to fade Travis Kelce this weekend. He’s been an absolute monster in the playoffs for the Chiefs, and the Jaguars struggle mightily against his position. They’ve allowed the fourth-most yards to TE’s this season, along with the highest yards per target. They were carved up by Gerald Everett last weekend, and Kelce cruised to 81 yards and a touchdown against them earlier this season. Overall, there’s a real lack of trustworthy value do stuffing in two tight-ends could be the optimal build path. I will be looking to save money with my second one, and my current lean is actually Daniel Bellinger or Hayden Hurst. Evan Engram will likely be the highest-owned cheaper option, but I like saving $1,000 in salary and punting.
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)