Atlanta Falcons (+100)/Washington Redskins (-120)
This is a sneaky game to score a plethora of points. The Washington Redskins have generally played in low scoring games, as they are averaging only 20.9 points per game, while allowing only 19.1 points per game. The Atlanta Falcons have been the exact opposite, as they are averaging a healthy 27.1 points per game, while allowing 30.3 points per game. This game is relatively simple for me. I don’t feel Washington has the defense to shut down the Atlanta offense, but I also feel Washington can score against an injured Atlanta defense. This game is projected to be close throughout, and these two teams matchup well against each other. The Redskins should utilize their rushing attack to score points in this game, while the Falcons will likely avoid Josh Norman and find success through the air. I feel this total is a bit low for the type of games the Falcons generally force their opponents into, as well.
Bet 3 units on Atlanta/Washington OVER 48 to win 2.6 units (-115)
Houston Texans (-120)
This game seems relatively straight forward, while this line seems way off. The Houston Texans were buyers at the NFL trade deadline, while the Denver Broncos were sellers. Houston ranks 14th in the NFL in points (24.6) per game, while Denver ranks 20th (23.5). The Texans also rank ninth in the league in points allowed (20.9) per game with Denver ranking 14th (24.3). Houston is also on a five game winning streak after starting the season 0-3. Denver has not been so lucky, losing five of their last six games, beating only the Arizona Cardinals. Denver will see home field advantage this week, which could be swaying the line, but Houston has the advantage in nearly every other category. This is their game to lose, and 80% of the bets have agreed with that.
Bet 2 units on Houston ML to win 1.7 units (-120)
Los Angeles Rams (-130)
The Los Angeles Rams have seen 58% of the bets this week, and the line has shifted quite a bit already. Los Angeles has featured the best team in the NFL this season, posting an 8-0 record. They also rank third in the NFL in points scored (33.0), while ranking sixth in the league in points allowed (19.4) per game. The New Orleans Saints have also found quite a bit of success, winning each of their last six games after losing a close matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the first week. New Orleans has found similar offensive success, as they are averaging 33.4 points per game this season. They haven’t found the same success on defense, though, as they’re allowing 26.1 points per game through seven weeks. I expect this game to stay close, but Los Angeles has sizeable advantage on defense, while also featuring an advantage on offense with Cooper Kupp returning from injury.
Bet 3 units on Los Angeles ML to win 2.3 units (-130)
Parlay 2 units on Minnesota ML, Los Angeles/New Orleans OVER 59.5, Dallas ML to win 5.3 units (+267)