We are beyond thrilled to “officially” announce our newest partners at OwnersBox. While being well known for their WFS (Weekly Fantasy Sports) product, they have recently launched their first ever DFS platform and have been using none other than Karma Nation to test it! CLICK HERE to sign up for your account and lock in a $500 deposit match and $10 Free Play with promo code ‘KARMA’!
What is OwnersBox? How are they different?
OwnersBox is the newest DFS lineup platform giving you more lineup flexibility than ANYONE else by creating a “SuperFlex“. For NFL, this means that you have the ability to play TWO Quarterbacks in your lineup. You are also dealing with extremely different roster requirements. On OwnersBox, you roster one QB, two RB, two WR, one TE, two FLEX and one SUPER-FLEX. This allows for some crazy lineup builds, and should make for some high-scoring DFS slates. With that being said, let’s dive into the plays…
Marcus Mariota – $6,100
I think I’ve written up Mariota three times already this season, but he is once again underpriced in Week 4. Atlanta/Cleveland features the weeks third-highest O/U at 48 points in a offensive-friendly environment indoors in Atlanta. Mariota is top-15 in fantasy scoring through three weeks and the Browns defense is limping into this game. It appears Denzel Ward and Jeremiah Owusu Koramoah will be able to suit up — but they’ll likely be without both Myles Garrett and Jadeveon Clowney. Their pressure rate plummets with those two off the field, dropping from top-three in the metric to bottom-five. Mariota is also projecting extremely well. Our projections have him as the fifth-highest raw projection this week — yet he’s priced as the 15th QB on the board. I love that Atlanta has been letting him run, and I think there’s a reasonable ceiling here if the game shoots out.
Jamaal Williams – $5,000
Williams will be no secret in Week 4, with Dan Campbell confirming on Friday that D’Andre Swift is unlikely to play this week. Williams already had the third-highest red-zone opportunity share this week — and now is in line for more early down work. He played a few games without Swift late last season but never ended up topping a 50% snap-rate. It’s important to remember that he was extremely banged up in those contests, and is healthy right now. He played 45% of the snaps in Week 3 with Swift handling 41% — I would be willing to wager money he will see over 50% this week. Regardless, this game features the second-highest O/U on the slate and the Lions are tied for the second-highest team total this weekend. They should be able to score points, and could skew even more run-heavy with Amon-Ra St. Brown ruled out. Seattle is bottom-seven in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this season. I think Williams is the top value play in Week 4.
Drake London – $5,600
I was a big fan of Drake London at USC and the Falcons went ahead and made him the highest selected WR in this years draft. Some didn’t think London warranted a top-ten pick, but he’s done his best to prove them wrong through just three NFL games. He leads the Falcons in Air Yards% — while ranking top-six in all of football in both target share and yards per route run. Mariota clearly likes throwing to him, and the Browns have been extremely leaky in the secondary. He should draw the coverage of Denzel Ward who is a top corner, but he is a bit banged up right now. London will also have five inches and thirty pounds on Ward. Overall, this game is one of the more likely shootout spots and London is a fantastic play in a stack or as a one-off.
David Njoku – $4,500
Njoku was back at practice on Friday, and looks primed to continue his breakout stretch against the Atlanta Falcons. Since I’ve already written up multiple Falcons players, it makes sense to get some correlation on the other side of the game in Njoku. He’s coming off his best game as a pro last Thursday night in which he posted a 9-89-1 receiving line. Jacoby Brissett has targeted his tight ends well above league average in every year as a starter — while Njoku posted his highest snap-count of the season in that game as well. It’s a small-sample size, but Atlanta is bottom-three in fantasy points allowed to the TE position this season. Cleveland made him one of the highest-paid tight ends in football this off-season, and I believe his role will continue to grow. He’s underpriced and is a top target in Week 4.
Geno Smith – $5,900
Some appeal was zapped from this game with ARSB ruled out, but I’m still interested in Geno Smith at this price. It’s hard to build a quality two-QB lineup most weeks, but taking the cheaper options in high O/U’s warrants consideration. For starters, Smith hasn’t even been playing bad and is coming off a top-ten QB week against the Falcons. I’ve already mentioned that this game owns the second-highest O/U of the week — and Smith correlates nicely with Jamaal Williams on the other side. Seattle has gone completely pass-happy — maybe in hopes to stick it to cringe-lord Russell Wilson. They’re throwing the ball over 65% of the time this season. Jeff Okudah is ascending for this Lions secondary, but they’ve allowed the second-most fantasy points to QB’s this season. If this game does shoot-out, Smith will have to post a big game. He’s popping as the second-best value at this position in out projections. I will be overweight on this game in Week 4.
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)