Philip Rivers/Melvin Gordon/Keenan Allen
The Los Angeles Chargers have featured an elite offense this season, ranking fifth in the NFL in total yards per game (415.3) and eighth in points per game (27.3). They get an elite matchup against the San Francisco 49ers, who are allowing 384.7 total yards and 29.7 points per game this season. The 49ers have also allowed at least 24 points in each of their games this season. This week, the Chargers are -10.5 point favorites in a game set at 47 points, giving them the highest implied run total on the slate at 28.8 points.
Philip Rivers has had his ups and downs early this season, but he’s averaging a healthy 302 passing yards and 2.7 passing touchdowns per game this season. He looked outstanding in his first two starts before struggling against a tough Los Angeles Rams defense last week. San Francisco simply does not have the secondary nearly as good as Los Angeles, though. His favorite target has been Keenan Allen, who is averaging a 5.7/73.0/0.3 line on 8.7 targets per game. Allen also leads the Chargers with Melvin Gordon in red zone targets (4). Gordon also ranks second on the team in targets, while posting a 17/144/2 line through three games. He’s also averaging 57.3 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing touchdowns per game this season, as well. These three players have accounted for 50% of Los Angeles’ touchdowns this season, and they make up one of the safest stacks on the slate.
NOTE: If you want to save some money, Mike Williams makes a high upside pivot off of Keenan Allen.
Andy Dalton/A.J. Green/Tyler Boyd
The Cincinnati Bengals have quietly performed well this season, as they are averaging 275 passing yards and 2.7 passing touchdowns per game. They get a great matchup against the Atlanta Falcons, who are allowing 276 passing yards and 2.0 passing touchdowns per game this season. They are also coming off of a game, in which they allowed Drew Brees to throw for 396 yards and three touchdowns. Atlanta also ranks 26th in the NFL against quarterbacks and 24th against wide receivers. The Bengals are sizeable underdogs in this game, but it is set at 51 total points. They feature an implied run total of 23 points this week.
Andy Dalton has struggled with interceptions this season, but he’s also averaging 286.7 passing yards and 2.7 passing touchdowns per game this season. Dalton has also scored 21.1 and 26.6 DK points in his last two games. His favorite two targets have been A.J. Green and Tyler Boyd, who have combined for a 40.4% target share this season. This duo has also combined for 50% of the team’s red zone targets. Green has been limited in practice, but is fully expected to play this week. He hasn’t seen as many targets as other elite receivers in the NFL, but he has scored 29.9 and 20.2 DK points in his two healthy games. Boyd has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season, and he has scored 28.7 and 21.1 DK points in his last two games. This duo is also responsible for 88.2% of fantasy points scored by Cincinnati’s receivers.
NOTE: Atlanta also struggles against receiving running backs. Joe Mixon – depending on his status – or Gio Bernard both make elite options, and could add to a four man Cincinnati stack.
Andrew Luck/T.Y. Hilton/Jack Doyle or Eric Ebron
The Indianapolis Colts have struggled offensively this season, as they have totaled only 623 passing yards and five passing touchdowns through three games. They get a matchup against the Houston Texans, who are only allowing 238 passing yards per game, although they have allowed seven passing touchdowns, as well. More importantly, Houston has allowed 8.5 passing yards per attempt and a 119.9 QB rating to their opponents. The Colts are currently -1.5 point favorites in this game, and they feature an implied total of 24.3 points.
Andrew Luck has been a disappointment this season, as he’s averaging only 220.7 passing yards and 1.7 passing touchdowns per game. He had his best game at home earlier this season, scoring 23.5 DK points against the Cincinnati Bengals. He has also been a better option at home throughout his career, as he’s averaging more yards and touchdowns per game in Indianapolis. His favorite target is T.Y. Hilton, who is averaging a healthy 10.7 targets per game this season. He has also been consistently targets, as he has seen 10+ targets in each of his three games. Hilton is tied for the lead in red zone targets (6), as well. Eric Ebron and Jack Doyle have both played major roles for Indianapolis this season. When healthy, Doyle is averaging 7.5 targets per game, while Ebron saw 11 targets last week with Doyle injured. If Doyle is healthy, he should be used in this stack. If he’s out, Ebron can slide in. Regardless, this is not a safe stack, and it is best suited for tournaments this weekend.
High Upside GPP Stack
Eli Manning/Saquon Barkley/Odell Beckham Jr.
The New York Giants have struggled offensively this season, as they are only averaging 319.3 total yards and 18.3 points per game. They get an elite matchup against the New Orleans Saints, though, who are allowing their opponents to total 421 total yards and a league-high 34.3 points per game. New York has struggled this season because of their offensive line, but New Orleans has struggled a bit to get a pass rush this season, ranking near the bottom of the NFL in sacks. The Giants are small underdogs in a game set at 50 points, and they feature an implied total of 23.3 points this week.
Eli Manning has struggled this season, but he has progressively gotten better in each start. Most importantly, he is averaging a healthy 36.7 pass attempts per game. In a game where Manning could see extra time behind his line, he comes with tremendous upside in this offense. Odell Beckham Jr. has looked outstanding since returning from injury, as he’s averaging an 8.0/90.3 line on 11.3 targets per game. The only concern with Beckham is that he’s expected to be shadowed by Marshon Lattimore, but as we’ve seen earlier this season, Lattimore hasn’t been as elite as his rookie campaign. Surprisingly, Saquon Barkley has been the second most targeted player on the Giants. He’s averaging 7.0 receptions and 45.7 receiving yards per game, while also averaging 72.0 rushing yards and 0.7 rushing touchdowns per game. Barkley has quietly been the most involved played in New York’s offense, and that likely won’t change this week.