I’m really starting to hate the elevated events for my PGA Tour Top DFS Plays!
Last season, I struggled to figure them out as the stacked fields makes it a little harder to pinpoint top finishers.
We have a full-field event this week, at least, but it’s an ugly field.
Five golfers are in the $10K range this week even though Tony Finau ($12,000) is the only one worthy of the high price.
This marks the third year for the Mexico Open at Vidanta (par 71, 7,456 yards) and Finau is the defending champion.
The course is a bomber’s paradise with a strong approach game from 175 yards and longer.
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Onto PGA Tour Top DFS Plays for the Mexico Open:
10K and Above
Tony Finau ($12,000)
Finau is not playing at the top of his game, but with a weak field, he may defend his title.
He’s 7th in SG: approach on the Tour this season, and he’s above average in the 175-200 and the 200-plus approach brackets.
Despite the par 71, the course still had four par 5s, and Finau is 3rd in par-5 scoring this season on the Tour.
Nicolai Hojgaard ($10,700) was the only other 10K in the Top 25 on my spreadsheet. He’s a fine GPP option.
9K and Above
Keith Mitchell ($9,900)
The 9K range is filled with a lot of golfers I don’t mind starting my builds.
Mitchell, who is playing the event for the first time, is above Tour average in approach but is a Top 10 (4th) golfer in the 200-plus approach range.
Stephan Jaeger ($9,800) and Brandon Wu ($9,100) are both great plays in this range as well.
Jaeger is Top 20 in distance off the tee and in 175-200 yard range for approach.
Wu may be the course horse after finishing in the Top 3 during the first two years of the event.
8K and Above
Jake Knapp ($8,700)
After a slow start on the PGA Tour, Knapp is finding his footing.
He finished 70th at the Sony Open in his first start before missing the cut at The American Express.
He has two Top 30 finishes in his last two events, highlighted by T3 at the Farmers Insurance Open.
Knapp is 22nd in distance off the tee and has an above average approach game, which makes him an easy part of my Top DFS Plays.
7K and Above
Andrew Novak ($7,000)
Novak struggled to start the season, missing the cut in his first three starts.
Then came WM Phoenix Open. He finished 8th despite an even-par 72 in his final round.
His elite approach game and above average should give him a chance to make his second straight cut.
Sam Stevens ($7,100) also earned a spot in the Top 10 on my spreadsheet along with Novak.
Punt Plays
Thanks to the pricing this week, the low range goes down to $5K. Patton Kizzire ($6,800) and Carl Yuan ($6,200) earned spots in my Top 10, while the top spot is also in this price range (you can find out who it is in our paid Discord). Sami Valimaki ($6,700), Ben Silverman ($6,200) and Bronson Burgoon ($6,000) each earned spots in my Top 25 this week.
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