3 Best Bets for UFC on ESPN+ 12 - DFS Karma
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3 Best Bets for UFC on ESPN+ 12

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Montana De La Rosa (+160)

This fight will likely turn into a grappler vs. striker fight. Montana De La Rosa is known for her wrestling and Brazilian jiu-jitsu, while Andrea Lee is a more complete fighter. With that being said, she’ll struggle to keep up with De La Rosa’s grappling, leaving her to have the edge in the striking department. Lee possesses solid takedown defense, but it’s far from bulletproof. De La Rosa is relentless with her takedowns, and once she turns her fights into grappling matches, she owns tremendous submission skills. The biggest takeaway from this line is that De La Rosa is essentially priced for her skills in her last fight. She’s only 24 years old, though, and has consistently become better with her time off. I’m expecting that trend to continue, while we haven’t seen as big of advancements in Lee’s game from fight to fight. I wouldn’t bet De La Rosa if this fight was even, but I’m willing to grab the underdog odds at this weekend.

Bet 1 unit on De La Rosa to win 1.6 units


Dan Ige (+110)

Kevin Aguilar has been impressive in the UFC, but we once again have a matchup with specific styles. Aguilar will be looking to keep this fight standing and use his striking to take the victory. Dan Ige, on the other hand, will be looking to turn this fight into a grappling match, as he owns a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and a brown belt in judo. He has been perfect in the UFC outside of his debut, which was a decision loss to Julio Arce. One major difference in this fight is that Ige possesses the skills to keep this fight competitive on the feet, while he will have a clear advantage if this fight hits the mat. Aguilar does enter this fight with outstanding takedown defense, but similarly to De La Rosa above, Ige is relentless with takedowns. Once he gains the respect of Aguilar on the feet, takedowns should come significantly easier, and Ige’s versatility should show through in this fight.

Bet 1 unit on Ige to win 1.1 units


Renato Moicano (-200)

The main event between Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung, or “The Korean Zombie” as he is more widely known, should be a very exhilarating contest. However, the line is overinflated toward this fight finishing inside distance. Moicano, despite being one of the top strikers in the featherweight division, has never recorded a knockout in his professional MMA career. In the UFC, The Korean Zombie has lost twice via knockout or technical knockout, but one of those was with one second left in the fifth round. In the other, he was completely out-matched by Jose Aldo. Moicano is an effective striker, but he relies far too heavily on his jab to truly hurt Zombie in this fight. He is going to utilize his reach advantage to keep this fight at a distance, and if Zombie can’t convince him to engage in a fire fight, he should rather easily pick up a five-round decision. Betting Moicano straight at -200 makes sense for bettors that are looking for a quick hit, but the value this weekend is on Moicano by decision or technical decision at +300.

Bet 1 unit on Renato Moicano by decision or technical decision to win 3 units


Parlay Bet

Parlay 1 unit on Renato Moicano, Bryan Barberena, Luis Pena, and Deron Winn to win 2.36 units

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