Bales’ MyBookie Bets
Kyle Freeland (+110)
Kyle Freeland has been playing at an elite level this season, specifically over his last 10 starts. Over that span, he owns a 4-1 record with a 2.80 ERA. He has also allowed two or fewer earned runs in seven of his last eight games. He will also get a boost from playing in St. Louis, where the Cardinals have been a less consistent and less powerful offense. Luke Weaver will be taking the mound for St. Louis tonight. He has been throwing at a high level recently, but he has still allowed four or more earned runs in four of his last nine games. He also owns a 5.44 ERA in those games. Colorado has found offensive success in this series, and they should be able to once again in this matchup. It comes as a bit of a surprise that the Rockies are underdogs in this game.
Bet 2 units on Colorado ML to win 2.2 units (+110)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Rich Hill (-170)
The Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers are two teams that made multiple moves at the trade deadline to improve their offenses. The Dodgers trades may have made a bit more of a splash, while the Brewers trades may fly under the radar a bit. Rich Hill will draw the start for the Dodgers, and he finally looks fully healthy. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts, including a one run performance against Milwaukee. More importantly, the Brewers are tentatively expected to play without Travis Shaw or Eric Thames because of the lefty-lefty matchup. Chase Anderson will draw the start for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he has also been throwing at a high level, allowing two or fewer earned runs in each of his last seven starts. The major difference here is that Anderson generally does not throw deep into games. Overall, the Brewers are at their worst when they are playing a left-handed pitcher on the road, and Los Angeles has the edge in nearly every aspect of this game.
Bet 2 units on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 RL to win 2.8 units (+140)
Sean Manaea (-150)
The Oakland A’s have struggled to produce runs at home this season, but they own a 56% win rate in Oakland through 50 games. Sean Manaea has been one of their top pitchers, and he owns a 4-1 record with a 3.28 ERA over his last 10 starts. He has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his last 10 starts, displaying tremendous consistency. He will face off against a much more inconsistent Marcus Stroman, who owns a 5.20 ERA this season, but a 4.07 ERA over his last 10 starts. While Oakland has struggled at score at home, Toronto has struggled on the road and against left-handed pitching this season. They own a 41.2% win rate on the road, and Oakland is in an elite position today. Pairing the Oakland moneyline with 8u for +212 odds is a decent spin off of this bet, as well.
Bet 4 units on Oakland ML to win 2.7 units (-150)
Parlay 2 units on Baltimore/New York Yankees 9o, Oakland -1.5 RL, and Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 RL to win 18.8 units (+937)