MLB Betting 8/6/18 – Bales’ MyBookie Bets
Bales’ MyBookie Bets
Trevor Bauer (-220)
This runline is a bit odd in my opinion. Bauer will be taking the mound for the Cleveland Indians, and he has been nearly untouchable at home this season. Through 11 home starts, he owns a 5-1 record with a 2.02 ERA. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last five home starts. Cleveland gets somewhat of a tough matchup against Kyle Gibson, who owns a 5-8 record with a 3.47 ERA this season. With that being said, Cleveland has arguably the best offense in the MLB when playing at home. They’re hitting .274 with a .466 slugging percentage and an .813 OPS. Most importantly, Cleveland is averaging 5.7 runs per game at home. Furthermore, the Minnesota Twins recently traded two of their best offensive players, and they could struggle to score runs in this matchup.
Bet 4 units on Cleveland -1.5 RL to win 3.8 units (-105)
Jake Arrieta (+120)
The Philadelphia Phillies struggles on the road are a bit concern, but the Arizona Diamondbacks have also struggled at home this season. More importantly, Philadelphia has caught fire recently, recording a 5-1 record over the last week. Jake Arrieta, who has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last three road starts, including one in Boston, will take the mound for the Phillies. He also owns a 1-0 record, allowing only one earned run over seven innings in his only matchup against Arizona this season. Arizona will start Zack Godley, who has found success with a 12-6 record and a 4.46 ERA this season. I expect this game to feature very few runs, and I side slightly with Arrieta in this matchup. He also gets plus odds, adding to the value of this bet.
Bet 2 units on Philadelphia ML to win 2.4 units (+120)
Wade LeBlanc (-125)
This is an interesting matchup, as both teams feature offenses that can score runs in a hurry. Wade LeBlanc has found success this season, though, posting a 6-2 record with a 3.95 ERA through 22 games (17 starts). He also looked outstanding against the Rangers in their only matchup this season. Most importantly, Martin Perez will be taking the mound for the Texas Rangers. He has been one of the worst starting pitchers in the MLB through nine starts, recording a 2-4 record with a 6.50 ERA. Seattle features an offense that hits left-handed pitching well, and there should be no shortage of runs in this game. Furthermore, Texas has struggled at home this season, while Seattle has found plenty of success on the road.
Bet 2 units on Seattle -1.5 RL to win 2.6 units (+130)
Parlay 2 units on Colorado -1.5 RL, Cleveland -1.5 RL, and Chicago Cubs -1.5 RL to win 14.6 units (+729)