Welcome to our MLB DFS Building Blocks, DraftKings and FanDuel picks for 5/10/22! In this article, I’ll break down by top overall plays for today’s main slate. Last year was an extremely big year for the Karma team in MLB, and we are looking to continue that success in 2022. I will be providing Core Plays for every main slate (and day baseball) this season — you can gain access to that as well as our premium discord here. Let’s get to the plays…
I think most people will side with Aaron Nola as their top option tonight, but I’m looking to spend up a bit more for Lucas Giolito. Gio has struggled with some control this season, but has still been dominant striking out 40% of batters faced. The walks also might not be a huge issue vs Cleveland, with nobody owning a walk rate above 8% outside the top few hitters in their lineup. Gio also has an extremely strong history against this current Guardians lineup, holding them to a combined .278 wOBA in over 80 plate appearances. Nola also has a strong match-up against the Mariners, but I’m going all the way up to Giolito in my main build tonight.
Sunshine is a lock to be high-owned tonight due to his price tag, which is just a clear mispricing there’s no other way around it. He didn’t have an amazing first start back from the injured list, but he averaged almost 94 mph on his heater and got up over 90 pitches. This is a strong match-up as well, with the Cubs projected lineup carrying a 24% strikeout rate into tonight. I typically spend up for two pitchers in my main lineup, but I see no reason to overthink these savings. We are essentially getting a $9,000+ pitcher for under $7,000.
This is my favorite spot of the entire season, and I’ve already bet Alonso over 1.5 total bases and to hit a home run. We’ve attacked Patrick Corbin all season, and will likely to continue to do so as long as he is starting for Washington. He hasn’t even been quite as bad as he was last year, but the results have still bee bad with a 5.00 expected ERA and a walk rate over 9%. His main issue has been allowing homeruns, which we know is Alonso’s game. Since the start of last season, he ranks ninth-overall in baseball with a .302 ISO vs southpaws. Furthermore, Corbin’s fastball is dust resulting in him throwing more sinkers this season. Alonso is one of the best sinker hitters in baseball with some of the best splits against the pitch — including a 75% hard-hit rate.
Soler is my preferred cheap option tonight against Madison Bumgarner. MadBum has struggled with power to righties over the last few seasons allowing a .200 ISO in the split. Soler actually has the highest ISO on the team against lefty pitching over that span as well with a .298 mark. He also matches up well with Bum’s pitch mix, sporting strong numbers against cutters. Overall, Soler has a ton of power for this price point and can be used in a mini-stack or as a one-off on Tuesday night.
Alonso posts 8 total bases!
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)