Welcome to our MLB DFS Building Blocks, DraftKings and FanDuel picks for 6/13/22! In this article, I’ll break down by top overall plays for today’s main slate. Last year was an extremely big year for the Karma team in MLB, and we are looking to continue that success in 2022. I will be providing Core Plays for every main slate (and day baseball) this season — you can gain access to that as well as our premium discord here. Let’s get to the plays…
Above is an example of the Core Plays given out to Subscribers on Friday May 13th
Most people will likely be on Alcantara’s opponent, Aaron Nola, but I simply cannot ignore how good Sandy has been over the last few weeks. He was one of my favorite sleeper picks for the NL Cy Young award this season, and he has played his way into that category with a 2.71 SIERA and 26% strikeouts. If you isolate the numbers by this season, the Phillies actually strikeout more against right-handed pitching than the Marlins do, with a lower combined wOBA in their projected starting lineup as well. I know that the Phillies are favorites here, but the odd have already dropped significantly since opening and the O/U is set at 7.5 runs. I think I would side with the lower-ownership of Alcantara if choosing just one ace tonight, but the double-spend is firmly in play for optimal lineups on DraftKings.
As I noted above, I really like the idea of spending on the pitchers in the PHI/MIA game and jamming in some cheap bats that I’ve highlighted below. However, we do have other options for our second pitcher including Alex Wood in the mid-tier and Mike Minor for value. Despite throwing four innings in his first two starts for the Reds, I don’t think we need someone as cheap as Minor though he is in play for large-field GPPs at that price. Wood is in a nice spot against the Royals, but I would rather downgrade one batter and get up to Nola for my SP2 as opposed to using Wood for not even $2,000 more in salary.
Goldy and the Cardinals have one of the larger team totals on the slate tonight, matching up with Mitch Keller. Keller has been legitimately bad vs right-handed batters this season allowing a .336 wOBA and 40% hard-contact in the split. We know that Goldy has been in the midst of a renaissance season for St. Louis, and he has been locked in against same-handed pitching sporting a team-high .374 wOBA. He also crushes fastballs, a pitch that Keller throws half the time to righties. Overall, I want some exposure to this lineup and team tonight and he is my preferred spend-up in all formats on both sites.
Houston is another team in a great spot tonight against Taylor Hearn and the Texas Rangers. Houston likely has too many good right-handed bats for Hearn to survive this match-up, and we can find value at the bottom of the order in Jeremy Pena and Chas McCormick. Both these guys have great numbers against left-handed pitching, while Hearn is allowing a .358 wOBA to righties this season with just 17% strikeouts. His most-used pitch in the split is his fast-ball, a pitch that McCormick owns a monster .444 ISO against over the last three seasons. The bottom of the Houston lineup will be my top source of value on Monday.
Houston scores 8+ runs!
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)