Welcome to our MLB DFS Building Blocks, DraftKings and FanDuel picks for 6/24/22! In this article, I’ll break down by top overall plays for today’s main slate. Last year was an extremely big year for the Karma team in MLB, and we are looking to continue that success in 2022. I will be providing Core Plays for every main slate (and day baseball) this season — you can gain access to that as well as our premium discord here. Let’s get to the plays…
Above is an example of the Core Plays given out to Subscribers on Friday May 13th
Pitcher is pretty straightforward to me on Friday, and it all comes down to what you do with your second pitcher slot after plugging in Jeffrey Springs. Springs is someone we have played a ton the last few weeks, and he draws a phenomenal match-up against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Pittsburgh is striking out at a 25% rate against left-handed pitching with their current lineup, and that number jumps even higher over the last few weeks. He’s also better against righties than lefties, so I’m not worried about him seeing six or seven righties here tonight.
The options for SP2 come down to Aaron Nola for another spend-up and Merrill Kelly for value against Detroit. I never want to be a part of Merrill Kelly chalk, so I’ll likely fade him even though the Tigers do strike out a ton against right-handed pitching. Nola is Nola, and he can be used in all formats on both sites. Verlander against the red-hot Yankees is an interesting pivot off of Nola in larger-field stuff — he will see mostly righties and is projecting for under 10% ownership tonight.
I was high on Michael Kopech coming into this season, but the advanced numbers look pretty scary and it seems like regression is going to hit him hard here soon. I don’t think you need to full-stack against him on a big slate like this, but since we are anticipating that regression it’s a good spot to target him with a one-off or mini-stack and that’s my plan with Mullins. When looking at Kopech’s numbers he is clearly worse against lefties, and Mullins is the best lefty in this Orioles lineup. He also throws his fastball almost 70% of the time in the split, which is great news for Mullins. Over the last few seasons, he owns a .390 wOBA and .280 ISO against heaters. I like him in all formats on both sites on Friday night.
Gorman is my top value on DraftKings tonight, matched up with Kyle Hendricks. Hendricks has really struggled with lefties this season allowing a .398 wOBA — up almost 30 points from last season. His change-up is very good, and he relies on that pitch to get outs while Gorman dominate the pitch with a 50% hard-hit rate this season. He’s also been locked in at the plate sporting a 39% hard-contact rate and 48% fly-ball rate over the last 14 days. He can be used in all formats even as a one off on Friday.
Jeffrey Springs strikes out 8+ batters!
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)