Welcome to our MLB DFS Building Blocks, DraftKings and FanDuel picks for 7/4/22! In this article, I’ll break down by top overall plays for today’s main slate. Last year was an extremely big year for the Karma team in MLB, and we are looking to continue that success in 2022. I will be providing Core Plays for every main slate (and day baseball) this season — you can gain access to that as well as our premium discord here. Let’s get to the plays…
Above is an example of the Core Plays given out to Subscribers on Friday May 13th
We really have no mid-tier today, with all of the strong pitching options coming in around the same price — between $8,000 and $9,500. It’s going to be a clear night to just jam in two of those guys, and that is reflected in the early ownership projections with both Sean Manaea and Alek Manoah projected for nearly 50% ownership. Both have strong match-ups against the Mariners and A’s respectively, and I cannot argue with either of them in cash games. On FanDuel, we get an added game in which Carlos Rodon is pitching and he would be my preferred anchor over there.
Julio Urias is the cheapest of the bunch at $8,300, and he himself is carrying a 40% ownership projection as well at home against the Rockies. Overall, two of those three seem to be the optimal way to build lineups with someone like Kyle Wright as the lower-owned tournament pivot. I don’t think Zach Plesac is very good, but if you are looking to save at SP2 he would be my top choice against the Tigers — in larger-field tourneys only.
Alonso will likely be high-owned tonight, but I’ve already bet him over 1.5 total bases and this is a great spot for him. We know Hunter Greene has strikeout ability, but he continues to struggle with righties allowing a .370 wOBA in the split compared to a .307 number against lefties. Alonso has far and away the best numbers against righties on the Mets this season — and he crushes fastballs as well. He owns a massive .328 ISO against heaters, a pitch that Greene throws 50% of the time. He has arguably the highest ceiling on today’s slate.
Sheets is the top value play for me on Monday, coming in at just $200 off the minimum price on DraftKings. Chicago has been pretty terrible this season, there’s no doubt about it, but this is a great spot. Dylan Bundy has always struggled with power, and is once again allowed an above-average mark in 2022. Sheets seems to be the only batter in this lineup with over a 45% fly-ball rate against righties this season, and he sits just under a .200 ISO vs fastballs — Bundy’s most-used pitch. Overall, there is a reason he is this cheap but if there was ever a spot for power it’s this one. At this price, it’s worth the low floor.
Pete Alonso hits two homeruns!
Written by Ben Hossler (Follow @BenHossler on Twitter)