Welcome to Bales’ NBA Game Theory (2/28)! In this article, I’ll outline my favorite cash game and GPP options at each of the positions. I’ll utilize our Projections Portal when making decisions about what types of leagues specific players are best suited for. You can get all of my Core Plays along with our Cheat Sheets, projections, and Premium Discord channels with our Premium NBA Package.
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|W. Carter Jr.
Kyle Lowry’s already been ruled out for tonight, leaving Gabe Vincent to take on a significantly bigger role. He’s been playing solid minutes in recent games, but his role in the offense should grow. He’s entirely too cheap tonight. Brandon Goodwin is another great salary relief option. He’s playing a significantly larger role with Darius Garland, Caris LeVert, and Rajon Rondo out. Goodwin struggled from the field in his last game, but he’s a great option in all leagues tonight. If you’re spending up, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is an elite option. He’s taking on a massive role with several players out for the Oklahoma City Thunder. He also gets a great matchup against the Sacramento Kings. Ja Morant and Dejounte Murray are facing off against each other, and they can both find success in this matchup. Both of them can be considered in all leagues, although I slightly prefer them in GPPs unless you’re using either and SGA. Fred VanVleet, Tyler Herro, and Tre Mann are a few more interesting options as well.
Jrue Holiday gets an interesting matchup against the Charlotte Hornets tonight. They’ve performed well against the point guard, but this is an elite game environment. Holiday will likely go overlooked in favor of other Milwaukee players, adding to his GPP value. Jalen Suggs is another interesting option here. He burned quite a few people with fouls in his last game, but he’s been playing extremely well in recent games. Suggs gets a plus matchup against the Indiana Pacers, and he’s an outstanding tournament option on this slate. De’Aaron Fox is another interesting option here. The Oklahoma City Thunder don’t have an elite presence in the paint, and Fox is one of the better driving scorers in the NBA. He certainly comes with quite a bit of risk, but he can also break a slate. D’Angelo Russell, Seth Curry, and Tyrese Haliburton can all be considered in GPPs as well.
Giannis Antetokounmpo gets the elite matchup against the Charlotte Hornets tonight. This is the fast-paced type of matchup that he can find tremendous success in. He isn’t going to come cheap, but he’s averaging 65.6 fantasy points per game against the Hornets this season. If you need to save salary, Thaddeus Young is an interesting option. He’s finally playing around 20 minutes per night for the Toronto Raptors. Although he hasn’t necessarily been the most consistent option, he’s averaging over 1 fantasy point per minute this season. He’s near the minimum price. Wendell Carter Jr. is another player that I’m interested in tonight. He’s been playing extremely well, and the Indiana Pacers have been the worst team against scoring power forwards in the NBA over their last few games. Carter comes with tremendous upside, and he’s an elite option on this slate. Khris Middleton, James Johnson, Jimmy Butler, and Bruce Brown can be considered here.
Buddy Hield is taking on a bigger role in the Indiana Pacers offense, and I love the matchup against the Orlando Magic. This game should feature plenty of scoring, which is where Hield is at his best. He’s already posted games with 50.25 and 49 DK points with Indiana. Miles Bridges is coming off of a big game for the Charlotte Hornets. He gets a solid matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks tonight, and he’s averaging nearly 40 DK points per game against them. Bridges is surprisingly cheap on this slate, and he can be considered in all leagues. Oshae Brissett is another interesting option on this slate, as he’s playing plenty of minutes as an Indiana big. The Orlando Magic have struggled against bigs throughout the season, and Brissett makes a great option on this slate.
Domantas Sabonis is playing extremely well for the Sacramento Kings. He’s taking on a massive role, and he gets an elite matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder have struggled against centers throughout the season, and Sabonis comes with elite upside on this slate. Pascal Siakam is another interesting option. He’s taken a massive step forward for the Toronto Raptors this season. Siakam comes with tremendous upside, and he gets a great matchup against the Brooklyn Nets. These are likely the only other centers that I’m considering outside of players that I posted at forward that come with center eligibility.
Karl-Anthony Towns is an interesting option on this slate. Jarrett Allen isn’t the ideal player to defend him, and there will be plenty of rebounds available for Towns. He’s a massive double-double threat, and he makes an interesting option in GPPs tonight. Bam Adebayo gets a plus matchup against the Chicago Bulls, who’ve struggled against centers at times this season. Kyle Lowry’s already been ruled out as well, which gives Adebayo a bit more offensive upside. Jaren Jackson Jr. is another high upside option that can be considered in a plus matchup against the San Antonio Spurs. He’s a versatile player that will benefit from the pace of this game. Bobby Portis and Steven Adams can be considered here as well.
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