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Yesterday, the lock of the day, Harden, came through for us on his 1h pra prop but the Cp3 pair let us down. Favorite plays have now hit 4/4 times we just need to find better pairs for them. The suns game blew out which really didn’t help Paul’s cause to go over points. Tonight, I have another favorite play that I’m locking in and have a couple of pairs I like for it…
Jayson Tatum 1h UNDER 14.5 Points:
Tatum has gone under this number in the last 6 out of 6 times. He usually starts the game off slow and then turns it up in the second half, but to score 15 points in the first half is pretty unlikely for him. I took the under on him in the last game but took the 1h 19.5 pra instead, and he finished with 16. For today’s game, however, his pra is at 20.5 with no reason as to why they would have bumped it. As much as I like that play (1h under 20.5 pra), his 1h points are usually at 13.5 and today they have also bumped them to 14.5, so I’m rolling with his points going under this prop instead.
I actually released the Tatum 1h under 19.5 pra play two nights ago, and after people had tailed he was bumped down to 19, so the fact that he’s at 20.5 just doesn’t add up. Tatums 1h was also at 13.5 points that night finishing with 9… Give me this one on the under as my top play and let’s hope his first-half cold streak continues.
Confidence Meter (1-10): 8
Steven Adams OVER 9.5 Rebounds:
Adams is back and played 27 minutes last game, finishing with 15 boards. The Warriors are known for giving up lots of rebounds to centers, and I’m expecting another fast-paced game giving Adams many opportunities to collect those boards. My only concern is blowout potential but even so, I expect the starters to play until the end is that it’s a season-on-the-line game for the Grizzlies. I hope for Adams to play a good amount of minutes, and the warriors to miss a lot of threes making it easy for Adams to cover this prop.
Confidence Meter (1-10: 8)
Al Horford OVER 2 3pt (Confidence Meter: 7)
Al Horford OVER 25.5 pra (Confidence Meter: 7)
Giannis OVER 31.5 Points (Confidence Meter: 6.5)
Tyus Jones over 6 Assists (Confidence Meter: 6.5)
Brook Lopez OVER 6 Rebounds (Confidence Meter: 6)
Written by Biggie