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A couple of nights ago, Embiid and the Sixers stunk it up and he missed his fantasy prop by 1.7, while Finney-Smith didn’t help by missing his protection by 8. Both had great first halves and were well on pace to go over but stunk it up in the second half making it 0-2 on my favorite plays and 2-4 on bonus plays. Tonight, we have a game seven double-header to bet on. The first game is what I am looking at and I expect a big night from the stars to help us bounce back.
Jayson Tatum OVER 30.5 Points
Tatum carried the Celtics on his back in game 6 to avoid elimination. He finished with 46 points, attempting 32 shots. Here in game 7, I expect Tatum to continue where he left off. He knows his role and he knows if he wants to win this game he has to play like the star that he is. I expect him to take 30+ shots again, and as long as he shoots decently he will finish above 30 points. This game should stay close and competitive, and he will play almost the entire game.
I think 30.5 is too low for a star player in a game 7 situation coming off a 46 point game so I’m taking this as my first play on the over.
Confidence Meter (1-10): 8
Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 34.5 Points
Throughout the series, Giannis has been playing his heart out and he has been absolutely balling out. In recent games, he has finished with 44 and 40 points. It does slightly concern me that Robert Williams is returning to the lineup, but I don’t expect him to be 100% as he is coming off the bench, and it’s his first game back from injury. I expect Giannis to go full beast mode, and put on a similar performance to his previous couple.
In a game 7 scenario, I see the stars taking charge, here being Giannis and Tatum, both of who want to win badly and will do the most for their team to make that happen.
Confidence Meter (1-10): 7.5
Jrue Holiday OVER 40 Fantasy Points
Finney-Smith OVER 20 Fantasy Points
Written by Biggie