Bobby’s NBA Game Theory – 11/13/19 - DFS Karma
Connect with us

Basketball

Bobby’s NBA Game Theory – 11/13/19

Guards Forwards
Centers Game Stacks
T. Rozier L. James K. Towns Grizzlies/Hornets
J. Harden P. Siakam H. Whiteside Clippers/Rockets
D. Russell B. Simmons J. Valancunius Lakers/Warriors
D. Lillard A. Horford C. Capela Magic/Sixers
J. Teague R. Hollis-Jefferson D. Green Wizards/Celtics

 

*If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above to maximize upside and correlation in your NBA lineups.

 

Thoughts:

Updates to come to this section as we approach lock so continue to check back for more insight.

  • Pricing tonight knocks a couple teams off this slate for me.  Judging off the pricing/projections of the Wizards vs Celtics game – it would take a lot for a stack here and the majority of the pieces to hit value.  If I’m touching anyone here, it’s Tatum but even then I think there are better spots to pay up for on this slate.  Another team with a situation like that is the Spurs – a team that I will have 0% exposure to but could consider DeRozan in an MME pool.
  • The top stud to pay up for on this slate is LeBron James with AD out and the top value being Terry Rozier at 5.6k.
  • Studs I’m focusing on in the slate include (in order of preference and PT/$ value):
    • Lebron James
    • Karl Anthony Towns
    • Pascal Siakam
    • James Harden
    • D’Angelo Russell
    • Ben Simmons
    • Damian Lillard
  • The value plays on this slate I’m focusing on (in PT/$ value:)
    • Terry Rozier
    • Miles Bridges
    • Jeff Teague
    • Jaren Jackson Jr
    • Kyle Kuzma – will get bump
    • Draymond Green
    • Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
    • Chris Boucher
    • Ja Morant
    • Cody Zeller
    • Robert Williams
    • Dwight Howard
  • Focus on creating the core of your lineups using the table above and then mix in the players I listed above as ceiling/value plays into your lineups.  You will have success if you follow this approach.
  • I am going to be focused on exposing myself to high total games with tight spreads when stacking in GPPs.
    • One of the most underrated parts of NBA DFS is game stacking.  The amount of times game stacks are utilized compared to the number of overtimes we see in the NBA is extremely underutilized.
    • When playing the 50,000 person GPP’s, you should be picking a game that you think will be competitive with a chance to go to overtime.  We gain a ton of additional value when a game goes to overtime and we have the relevant DFS plays from that game stacked up.
    • Make sure to focus on the games I listed in the table above when looking to stack a game tonight in GPP.

 

If you don’t already follow me on Twitter for more sports insight.

  • Twitter: @DF_Advantage

If you’re looking to get premium membership access at DFS Karma – go to www.dfskarma.com/shop and use the code “ENDZONE” for a major discount off any one of our packages.  Feel free to DM me if you’d like more information on discounts/price/content/etc.

 

More in Basketball