Bobby’s NBA Game Theory – 11/15/19 - DFS Karma
Connect with us

Basketball

Bobby’s NBA Game Theory – 11/15/19

Guards Forwards
Centers Game Stacks
D. Russell A. Davis K. Towns Wizards/Wolves
Shai G-A D. Green A. Drummond Pacers/Rockets
B. Beal J. Tatum N. Vucevic Celtics/Warriors
M. Brogdon D. Sabonis T. Bryant Thunder/Sixers
I. Thomas R. Covington J. Embiid Jazz/Grizzlies

If you’re looking to get premium membership access at DFS Karma – go to www.dfskarma.com/shop and use the code “ENDZONE” for a major discount off any one of our packages.  Feel free to DM me if you’d like more information on discounts/price/content/etc.

*If you don’t already play 3 lineups and 3 max entry contests daily, try using the teams provided in the stacks above to maximize upside and correlation in your NBA lineups.

 

Thoughts:

Updates to come to this section as we approach lock so continue to check back for more insight.

  • There are some clear studs you want to pay up for on this slate.  KAT at 10k is the obvious one considering the Wolves have an implied total over 120 points and we’ve seen what KAT’s usage rates are this season.  He’s close to a lock from me.  You can make a very strong case again today for the Drummond/KAT combo which we ran earlier this week that didn’t work out as only 1/2 hit.  You are able to get Draymond/AD in the PF slot so it makes a case for trying to jam in these big stars tonight.  I’ll likely find 2/3 in most of my lineups.
  • Studs I’m focusing on in the slate include (in order of preference and PT/$ value):
    • Karl Anthony Towns
    • James Harden
    • Andre Drummond
    • Russell Westbrook
    • Anthony Davis
    • D’Angelo Russell
    • Bradley Beal
  • Next tier:
    • Nikola Vucevic
    • Malcolm Brogdon
    • Domantas Sabonis
    • LeBron James
    • Joel Embiid
    • Kemba Walker
  • The value plays on this slate I’m focusing on (in PT/$ value:)
    • Shai Gilgeous Alexander – Elite Value
    • Draymond Green – Elite Value
    • Isaiah Thomas – Elite risky value
    • Jeff Teague – Safe value
    • Al Horford – Upside value 
    • Troy Brown – Desperate value
  • Focus on creating the core of your lineups using the table above and then mix in the players I listed above as ceiling/value plays into your lineups.  You will have success if you follow this approach.
  • I am going to be focused on exposing myself to high total games with tight spreads when stacking in GPPs.
    • One of the most underrated parts of NBA DFS is game stacking.  The amount of times game stacks are utilized compared to the number of overtimes we see in the NBA is extremely underutilized.
    • When playing the 50,000 person GPP’s, you should be picking a game that you think will be competitive with a chance to go to overtime.  We gain a ton of additional value when a game goes to overtime and we have the relevant DFS plays from that game stacked up.
    • Make sure to focus on the games I listed in the table above when looking to stack a game tonight in GPP.

 

If you don’t already follow me on Twitter for more sports insight.

  • Twitter: @DF_Advantage

 

 

More in Basketball