NBA Betting 10/29/18 – Bales’ MyBookie Bets
Milwaukee Bucks (N/A)
The Milwaukee Bucks continue to feature one of the best rotations in the East. They’re undefeated through six games, leading the NBA in net offensive and defensive rating (15.0). They get a tough matchup against the Toronto Raptors, who rank third in the NBA in net offensive and defensive rating (10.2). Overall, Toronto features the slightly better offense, while Milwaukee features the slightly better defense. Kyle Lowry and Kawhi Leonard combine for a large part of the Toronto offense, but Milwaukee has multiple defenders, who can slow them down. Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is currently questionable, has been playing at an MVP level this season, as well. The Bucks will have home court advantage tonight, as well. It’s a bit surprising that they are underdogs in this game, but it’s something we can take advantage of.
Bet 3 units on the Milwaukee +1 spread to win 2.7 units (-110)
NOTE: Giannis Antetokounmpo has been ruled OUT. This is no longer a bet worth making.
Golden State Warriors (-950)
This is a clear matchup between one of the best teams in the NBA against one of the worst. The Golden State Warriors feature the second best offensive and defensive net rating (11.9) in the league, while the Chicago Bulls rank only 24th (-6.9). Most importantly, Golden State features arguably the best offense in the NBA, while Chicago features one of the worst defenses. Chicago is also dealing with a multitude of key injuries – Bobby Portis, Lauri Markkanen, Kris Dunn, and Denzel Valentine – making this matchup that much easier. The key in this matchup is the 12 point spread, but Golden State is averaging +14.2 points in their wins this season. Chicago is also averaging -14 points in their losses this season. The results of this game seem like an foregone conclusion, and Golden State has an offense that can cover such a big spread.
Bet 2 units on the Golden State -12 spread to win 1.8 units (-110)
Indiana Pacers (-185)
The Indiana Pacers are another team that has featured an elite offensive and defensive net rating (9.2), ranking fourth in the NBA. Their opponents, the Portland Blazers, have also played well this season, ranking 11th in the league in net offensive and defensive rating (4.5). They rely heavily on Damian Lillard for offensive production, as he’s averaging 33.8 points per game this season. He should see plenty of time against Victor Oladipo, though, who is known as one of the best defensive guards in the NBA. This game somewhat sets up perfectly for Indiana, who features the an elite defensive guard and more ways to score than their opponents. Furthermore, Portland will continue their East road trip, after already playing the Orlando Magic and Miami Heat.
Bet 3 units on the Indiana ML to win 1.6 units (-185)
Parlay 2 units on Atlanta/Philadelphia OVER 232, Los Angeles Lakers ML, San Antonio ML to win 6.9 units (+343)
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